REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Just when you think that the statistics can’t get any worse for the graduating class of the Obama Administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program, they do. Otherwise known as HAMP, this program is apparently designed to convince people who really can’t afford their current debt load that they really can.

To that end, it is meeting with modest success.

How else can one explain that total debt-to-income ratios have risen even higher than February’s ridiculous burden of just under 60 percent as noted in this item four weeks ago?

Over the last four weeks, some 60,000 HAMP “trial” participants have had their loan modifications elevated to “permanent” status, meaning that they can now go confidently forth into the world thinking that their impossible debt load is somehow under control.

It’s not.

(more…)

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Yves Smith of the popular Naked Capitalism blog talks with Robert Miller of the Telegraph about her recently released book that, apparently, doesn’t paint the world’s economists in a very flattering light – ECONned: How Unenlightened Self Interest Undermined Democracy and Corrupted Capitalism.

I’ve always thought of mainstream economists (i.e., not the Robert Shiller or Dean Baker types) as being the unwitting accomplices of Wall Street and Washington, oftentimes providing the intellectual cover for doing things that, as should be clear by now, not only aren’t  in the nation’s best long term interests but that are quite destructive.

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China and their Housing Bubble

More evidence that the initial stages of dialing back on easy money fueling asset bubbles only causes those  bubbles to get bigger in the short-term comes from China as, despite government efforts to cool a red-hot housing market, buyers keep bidding prices higher.

Bloomberg reports that measures taken so far by the Chinese government have been inadequate to stop property prices from rising sharply, efforts that stand in stark contrast to those of the U.S. government’s no money down programs, $8,000 tax credits, and freakishly low interest rates intended to revive the housing bubble here.

China’s cabinet raised minimum mortgage rates and down payment ratios for some home purchases, saying “more forceful” steps are needed to cool speculation after property prices rose at a record pace in March.

Down payments for second homes must be at least 50 percent, up from 40 percent, and interest rates can’t be lower than 110 percent of benchmark rates, the State Council said in a statement, citing decisions made during a meeting yesterday. Banks should also raise down payment ratios and rates for third homes “by a broad margin.”

Residential and commercial real-estate prices in 70 cities climbed 11.7 percent last month from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said yesterday. Haikou, the capital city on the southern island of Hainan, had the biggest gain, with a 53.9 percent jump in overall property prices.

Housing isn’t the only thing in China that is on an upward trajectory as economic growth was sizzling hot in the first quarter, real GDP expanding at an annualized rate of 11 percent.

Clearly, the Chinese are now getting much too much of a good thing – eight percent GDP growth and rising home prices are one thing, but 11 or 12 percent economic growth and a housing bubble are quite another and, at this rate, we’ll soon see a repeat of early-2008 when consumer prices began to rise sharply spurring protests and general unrest.

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“We’re All Doomed”

Spotted over at Zero Hedge, the ideas in this Dylan Ratigan/Story Pirates video from MSNBC are the sort of thing that future generations may look back upon someday and wish that they had done something about rather than simply “going with the flow”.

Of course, “going with the flow” seems to be getting much harder since the nation reached “peak credit” a couple years ago with results that were, not surprisingly, disastrous, all of which might make the “generational theft” detailed by the Story Pirates (what seems to have become institutionalized in the U.S.) a bit harder to pull off.

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