U.S. Recovery Engineered Wrongly

David Roche of Independent Strategy Limited talks to CNBC’s Amanda Drury about how unsound the current economic recovery is, his main argument being that more easy money shouldn’t be expected to fix the problems caused by easy money a few years ago.

Roche: “What they’re trying to do is start off more bubbles. If you look at consumer spending, it is picking up. Of course it’s picking up. U.S. households now get more money from the government than they pay in taxes … So, what the authorities are trying to do is actually to add state leverage, government bond leverage to private sector leverage so that the bubbles go on and the consumption goes on. At the same time, of course, because money is free to the banks, the banks don’t want to lend that much, so they will actually buy government bonds — which enables the government to give out some more money.”







Goldman Sachs Suit Gets More Political

Heard about this on Bloomberg radio while out and about today. (By the way, if you’re paying full price for XM radio and you’re kind of luke warm about it, you’re paying way too much. Just call them and say you want to cancel and they’ll do just about anything to keep you on, including giving it to you for practically nothing or, in some cases, nothing.  It makes sense from their point of view because there’s no incremental cost in keeping you around if there’s the prospect of you paying them something, sometime in the future.) Anyway, Bloomberg reports that the SEC vote to file charges against Goldman was strictly a party-line vote:

SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro sided with Democrats Luis Aguilar and Elisse Walter to approve the case, said the people, who declined to be identified because the vote wasn’t public. Republican commissioners Kathleen Casey and Troy Paredes voted against suing, the person said.

Schapiro, an independent appointed by Democratic President Barack Obama, cast the deciding vote in a high-profile case for the second time this year. In February, she sided with Democrats in a $150 million settlement with Bank of America Corp. tied to its takeover of Merrill Lynch & Co.

Schapiro, 55, has bucked consensus in approving enforcement cases and new regulations. In February, she joined Aguilar and Walter in 3-2 votes for rules to restrict on bearish stock bets and to encourage companies to disclose how climate change may alter financial results.

The vote on short-sale restrictions prompted Erik Sirri, a former head of the SEC’s division of trading and markets under Schapiro, to say the agency made a political decision rather than one based on market data.

In one or more of the hundreds of articles on the Goldman Sachs suit over the last three days, Schapiro was characterized as Rahm Emanuel’s lapdog or worse. In this commentary, Bruce Krasting says that the SEC chief doesn’t go to the bathroom without first checking with Emanuel. The timing certainly is curious…

Tagged with:  

Cramer and Raynes on Goldman Sachs

This is one of the more bizarre videos to have surfaced since fraud charges were filed against Goldman Sachs last Friday. It seems like it’s been longer than three days, doesn’t it?

There must be some history between Jim Cramer and Sylvian Raynes. Perhaps, they were already sparring in a previous segment because, in this one, they clearly don’t get along.

Tagged with:  

Pricking the China Housing Bubble

Lost in all the news about Goldman Sachs and their new legal troubles tied to excesses in the U.S. housing market a few years back is news that the Chinese government seems intent on “pricking” their current housing bubble as reported in China Daily (a predicament that U.S. politicians and Wall Street types would, today, happily trade for their own).

The second blow that the central government dealt to the red-hot property market has come much sooner than expected. Just two days after it decided to lift down payments and second-home loan rates, the State Council announced on Saturday that commercial banks can refuse to issue loans to third-home buyers in cities where housing prices are rising too quickly.

Such continuous, heavy moves are meant to drive home the message that the government is very serious about reining in runaway property price hikes.

The latest efforts to cool the property market shows the authorities have fully recognized both the danger of a looming property bubble and, more importantly, the huge cost of not pricking it in time. But more efforts are needed to keep various speculators at bay, to ensure the sector’s healthy development.

Wow! What a sharp contrast to the U.S. government’s words and deeds regarding our monstrous housing and credit market bubble just a few years ago.

Of course, the decisions in China are being made with the knowledge that bubbles can be spotted in real time and that “pricking” them might not be such a bad thing to do given what’s happened to the global economy over the last few years – the exact opposite of the lesson that was learned when the U.S. stock market bubble popped in 2000.

Tagged with:  

Matt Taibbi of “giant vampire squid” fame talks about the Goldman Sachs fraud charges. They discuss the timing of the suit in relation to the financial reform bill, the damage to the Wall Street firm’s reputation, and the future of Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein.

There is a virtual avalanche of commentary on this subject, a portion of which is included in the previous links post. Taibbi said that he’s working on another Goldman-related piece, though, you have to wonder why he’d bother since anything he does will pale in comparison to The Great American Bubble Machine.

Tagged with:  
 
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made