REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

It’s another one of those weird, late-2008 type of days for financial markets as the dollar, treasuries, and gold bullion are about the only things going up. Adding to the intrigue is the fact that, yesterday, the inventory at the popular SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:GLD) reached a new all-time high as indicated below.

After leveling off in recent weeks at about five or six tonnes above the old highs from last June, a mark that was approached in late-December before falling back again early in the new year, the new total of 1146.5 is now well clear of the old highs with more additions likely to come, given what’s happening in markets today.

Full Disclosure: Long gold coins and GLD at time of writing

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Barter Makes a Comeback

As elected officials in Washington query what, so far, appear to be both uncooperative and unrepentant officials from Goldman Sachs, more and more Americans turn to barter as detailed in this story from South Carolina’s The State.

Over the past 30 years, Columbia artist Jeff Donovan has bartered for artwork, tuition for his daughter’s private school, a custom-made suit and, most recently, a couple of visits to the dentist.

Bartering gives Donovan a way to use his talent – instead of having to pay cash – to get things he might never buy for himself.

Bartering, trading goods or services rather than charging cash, is an ancient practice. But it has gained popularity during the economic meltdown that left many short on cash but rich in talent or treasures.

The number of online barter ads has increased 100 percent since 2008, according to published reports.

“I couldn’t tell you the last time I had been to a dentist, and I felt like it was time,” said Donovan, who is self-employed and has a part-time job but no health insurance.

The dentist paid $325 to the gallery for the painting and gave Donovan a $325 credit at her office. He got his first cleaning last week and will go back in six months for a follow-up.

“It worked out very well,” he said. “Both parties were satisfied, which is I guess the ideal.”

It’s news to me that the IRS has been taxing bartered goods and services for almost 30 years. Apparently, as long as there’s an even swap between parties, no taxes are due, which would kind of suck for the government if barter were ever to expand to a much bigger scale.

 

While the world waits to hear what Goldman Sachs has to say before the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, word comes from Standard and Poor’s that home prices are again falling, any ambiguity about the current trend now removed after the firm said last week to ignore the seasonally adjusted data that, in February, also showed a decline.

The unadjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index fell 0.9 percent in February, the sharpest decline since March of last year during the depths of  the recession when the homeowner tax credit was just a glean in the eye of elected officials in Washington.

 
 

The Ratings Agencies are on Thin Ice

In all the discussion about who’s to blame for the financial crisis, the ratings agencies always seem to be in the mix, but they never seem to be more than an after thought, as in, “Oh yeah, we need to fix them too”. Perhaps they’ll get more attention tomorrow when Goldman Sachs appears before the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.

From the Tom Toles archive/blog at the Washington Post.

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Sometimes you just don’t know what to make of the dismal science, this CNN/Money report casting doubt on the need to have spent almost a trillion dollars a year ago to aid the U.S. economy and resulting in little by way of private sector employment.

Economists: The stimulus didn’t help

The recovery is picking up steam as employers boost payrolls, but economists think the government’s stimulus package and jobs bill had little to do with the rebound, according to a survey released Monday.

In latest quarterly survey by the National Association for Business Economics, the index that measures employment showed job growth for the first time in two years — but a majority of respondents felt the fiscal stimulus had no impact.

NABE conducted the study by polling 68 of its members who work in economic roles at private-sector firms. About 73% of those surveyed said employment at their company is neither higher nor lower as a result of the $787 billion Recovery Act, which the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers says is on track to create or save 3.5 million jobs by the end of the year.

That sentiment is shared for the recently passed $17.7 billion jobs bill that calls for tax breaks for businesses that hire and additional infrastructure spending. More than two-thirds of those polled believe the measure won’t affect payrolls, while 30% expect it to boost hiring “moderately.”

Public sector economists would likely have a completely different answer as to how government employment has fared since a good portion of the stimulus money ended up in state coffers, effectively saving untold thousands of jobs. That sort of public sector/private sector disparity is, perhaps, something we should get used to.

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