Top Ten Goldman Sachs Excuses

This has been popping up everywhere, spotted over at Paul Kedrosky’s Infectious Greed and at Barry’s Big Picture among others. David Letterman just turned 63 last week – I remember watching him when he was in his thirties and I was in my twenties.

To me, it’s a toss-up between #6 “We were framed by evil menswear company Goldman Slacks” and #3 “America needed a villain both Republicans and Democrats can hate”, but, in the end, repeating “Goldman Slacks” in #6 ala Johnny Carson was better.

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Evidence that we may all be going mad at a slightly quicker pace comes in these tidbits from this story at the Wall Street Journal Developments blog about the unsuccessful attempt to raise FHA down payment requirements and the public’s view of the soon-to-expire homebuyer tax credit that has been propping up the housing market.

A House committee on Thursday voted down an amendment that would raise to 5% the minimum down payment required on FHA-backed loans; currently, those loans require a minimum 3.5% down payment. The committee will vote again on the amendment on Tuesday, but the measure appears unlikely to survive.


The expiration of the tax credit will represent the removal of the second major government support to the housing market in as many months. So far, the mortgage market hasn’t experienced any major hiccups from the conclusion last month of the Federal Reserve’s purchases of $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities that held mortgage rates at around 5%.

Fortunately, views on extending the tax credit seem to be returning to levels that everyone can agree are “less mad” than the 80+ percent reading that this poll registered when it was first spotted a couple hours ago.

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The Commerce Department reported(.pdf) that new home sales surged 27 percent in March as buyers rushed to get under contract in advance of the expiring homebuyer tax credit next week. As opposed to  yesterday’s report on existing home sales that reflect closings, new home sales figures reflect contracts signed, meaning that there may be even more sales next month but, after that, another post-incentive plunge should be expected.

Homebuilders sold new houses as an annual rate of 411,000 in March, up from the all-time low of 308,000 in February and the highest level since last July. Inventory plunged, down from an 8.6 month supply to just 6.7 months, the lowest level since December 2006.

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USA Today files yet another report about the economic toll that the events of the last few years have taken, this one focusing on an entire generation that, by and large, still probably doesn’t know what hit them. I mean, would you be smiling if you were twenty-something years old and you owed almost a hundred thousand dollars?

They’re called “Generation Y” — teens and twentysomethings known stereotypically for their coddled upbringing, confidence, opinionated dialogue, free-spending habits and openness to change.

Ultimately, however, the more than 50 million members may be best remembered for whether they can overcome the dire financial straits that plague many of them.

Even before the recession, those in Generation Y — the latest products of a get-it-now, pay-for-it-later mind-set that has permeated the nation’s economy — faced a range of financial pitfalls as they embraced expensive high-tech gadgets and added credit card debt onto student loans.

Now, stagnant wages, job insecurity, the decline in employer-sponsored health insurance and retirement benefits, the rapid increase in basic expenses, soaring debt and minimal savings have jeopardized the economic security of the entire generation, according to a recent report by Demos, a public policy research and advocacy think tank.

Their generation is the first in a century that is unlikely to end up better off financially than their parents, the Demos report said.

My guess is that, in another 10 or 20 years, they’re going to be pretty mad when they fully understand what the baby boomers left them. Birth is like a lot of other things in life in that, often times,  timing is everything (though location is usually pretty important too…)

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Home Sales, Inventory, and Prices

Diana Olick of CNBC talks about the latest existing home sales data from the National Association of Realtors and how the March surge compares unfavorably to last November when the first round of tax credits was about to expire.

The inventory of unsold homes remains uncomfortably high, particularly when considering the size of the foreclosure pipeline which is expected to begin emptying at a faster pace. As for prices, those seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller Index gains appear to be some sort of statistical fluke, Standard and Poor’s now recommending that the unadjusted data be used instead, data that shows home prices declining rather than rising over the last four months.

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