Tom, Pennsylvania, and Taxes

Now, this is pretty spooky and, unfortunately for people like Tom, it’s pretty real – maybe not the ad, but the program. Just go to the Pennsylvania Tax Amnesty website for more info.

People would probably be better at paying their taxes voluntarily if there wasn’t a widespread belief that the rich don’t pay theirs due to an extraordinarily complicated tax system that works in their favor. Moreover, the fact that some of the best and brightest young people in the country are gravitating toward government jobs (because they have them) won’t make it any easier for people like Tom to avoid paying their fair share.

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Bloomberg reports that “Tall Paul” Volcker is a bit down on the prospects for the euro after the events of the last six months (a period of turmoil that seems like it’s been going on a lot longer than that) and the more recent $1 trillion bailout package announced on Sunday.

“You have the great problem of a potential disintegration of the euro,” Volcker, 82, said in a speech in London yesterday. “The essential element of discipline in economic policy and in fiscal policy that was hoped for” has “so far not been rewarded in some countries.”

European leaders pledged a rescue package of almost $1 trillion this week to counter a mounting debt crisis and restore confidence in the currency. Former U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow said this week the euro may need a common fiscal policy to survive, a comment echoed by Norman Lamont, who was U.K. finance minister when Britain opted out from the euro in 1992.

“Will economic and financial distress finally be resolved by looking toward more integration in a closely integrated Europe, politically as well as economically?” said Volcker, who chairs President Barack Obama’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. “I do have my hopes, as a believer in the euro.”

Volcker expressed hope that the euro will survive. “There is strong opinion to keep it going,” he told journalists after his speech at Mansion House, the residence of the lord mayor of the City, London’s financial district. “That does require, I think, changes in the structure of European economic policy.”

The euro hit a new low for the year earlier today against the dollar at just above $1.25, the lowest level in about 14 months. Sometimes it’s hard to believe that it touched the $1.60 mark in 2008, that is, just before all four wheels fell off the global economic wagon.

Of course, gold priced in euros continues to make new highs, yesterday threatening the €1,000 an ounce level before moving lower today to close at €984.

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Nothing to See Here … Move Along

Ronnie Chan, Chairman of Hong Kong based Hang Lung Properties, makes a good point about looking at the long-term when considering the frothy property markets in China.

Nonetheless, there could be a major correction ahead for real estate prices at some point. China stocks are now officially in a bear market and the property market could soon follow.

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After the many news accounts on this subject recently, it seems clear that local governments in China have been a big force behind soaring property prices, what many now see as the latest, potentially disastrous asset bubble in a world again gushing with easy money. According to this story in China Daily, many of the Chinese people realize this too.

More than 80 percent of respondents in a latest survey believe local governments are the major driving force behind soaring property prices.

The latest poll comes amid measures launched by governments at all levels in the past month to stem skyrocketing home prices, which have sparked heated debate.

Governments at various levels received 1.6 trillion yuan ($234 billion) from land sales in 2009, accounting for about 4.7 percent of last year’s GDP, statistics from the Ministry of Land and Resources showed. Sales revenue last year from the housing sector increased by 63 percent over 2008.

Nationwide, local governments cashed in big on land sales, with major cities like Hangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing being the top three, the China Real Estate Index showed.

This April also saw a 12.8 percent year-on-year increase of housing prices in 70 cities nationwide, figures from the State Statistical Bureau showed. Fifty-seven percent of those polled in the survey also said the control policies were inadequate and they were waiting to see more effective ones.

The Chinese government – at all levels – sure did catch on quickly to the whole idea of “inflate an even bigger asset bubble to mitigate the effects of the one that just burst”. Of course, as an emerging economy that is both a net creditor and net exporter, they have quite a few re-inflation cycles ahead of them before they have to deal with the “end game” now confronting the West.

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CNBC reports on the latest developments in selling gold bullion – a gold ATM that dispenses coins and bars up to one-third of an ounce. This follows a wildly successful program in India in which the yellow metal is sold at thousands of post offices throughout the country and plans for gold sales in thousands of branches of one of China’s biggest banks.

In the West, many people scoff at this sort of thing in the mistaken belief that the East is hopelessly behind the times, unappreciative of the many wonders of paper money in the modern world. Of course, the scoffing has decreased significantly over the last couple years.

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