Caroline Baum is back from vacation and has these thoughts to share about the relationship between how much money the government takes in and how much it spends.
Pick up any newspaper and you’re bound to see a prominently featured story about someone somewhere losing a government benefit and enduring hardship as a result.
The New York Times is publishing a series of such stories under the rubric, “The New Poor.” Last week’s installment focused on a 22-year-old unemployed single mom from Arizona who qualified for state-run subsidized child care but was placed on a waiting list because budgetary constraints forced cutbacks in the program.
We feel for this mom whose work options are limited by the need to care for her 3-year-old daughter. We all know someone who has been left jobless, financially strapped and emotionally bereft by the recession. Yet, at the risk of sounding hard- hearted, the U.S. can’t afford to provide everyone with food, clothing and shelter, not to mention medical and child care, college tuition, a low-interest mortgage and a Social Security check until death.
As much as this single mom’s plight tugs at our heart strings, using deficit financing to provide her with government subsidized child care is dangerous to her child’s health. That child will have to shoulder the bill. That’s the pain we don’t feel or hear about; the pain that doesn’t make its way into news stories, at least not in human terms; the pain that’s no less real, just less pressing.
That sort of makes you think twice about little girls like this whose parents may have a different view of where this might all lead.
While not pecking away at a keyboard at Bloomberg over the last week or so, Caroline apparently stumbled upon a new blog over at the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) that might be worth a look – here’s a link to the CBO Director’s Blog and here’s what showed up there not long ago regarding the government’s inflows and outflows.
“The United States faces a fundamental disconnect between the services that people expect the government to provide, particularly in the form of benefits for older Americans, and the tax revenues that people are willing to send to the government to finance those services,” Douglas Elmendorf, director of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, writes in a May 17 blog post.
Addressing the current tax and spending gap to make fiscal policy sustainable is “an urgent task for policy makers,” Elmendorf says.
Devout Keynesians will have none of it. They’re concerned the government is doing too little. The U.S. isn’t borrowing and spending enough, they say, as if today’s spending is a free lunch or a free ticket to prosperity.
Even when the spending stops, the interest on the debt keeps on giving. The CBO projects that under current law, net interest on the debt will reach $723 billion in 2020, up from $207 billion this year. Ten years from now, five categories — Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, defense and net interest — will account for three-quarters of government spending. Four of them are on automatic pilot.
From there, the many figures related to the nation’s large and growing debt get very depressing – though, that doesn’t mean you should stop reading – and you quickly realize that we’re headed for trouble, perhaps sooner than anyone would like to believe, with or without the help of the Keynesians.











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During the health care debate earlier this year a friend of mine emailed me to say, “it is immoral to be a world power and not provide everyone with health care.” I responded, “it is immoral to deficit spend like we are doing and leave a mountain of debt to our kids and grandkids.”
I wish a Hollywood producer would make a movie like they do about the environment (thinking “Day After Tomorrow”) but with fiscal issues in mind. Can you imagine a movie that projects out the world our grandchildren live in where taxes are sky high from paying just the interest on the country’s debt and with few of the entitlement programs we have today? That’s a real nightmare!
You don’t have to “provide everyone with food, clothing and shelter, medical and child care, college tuition, a low-interest mortgage and a Social Security check until death”. The last two are red herrings. Many developed nations already provide medical care and college tuition for EVERYONE.
But I take extreme offense to the “food, clothing, and shelter” bit. For one, it’s called a “social safety net” for a reason – if you can provide your own food, clothing, and shelter, then you won’t need the safety net. So providing “everyone” with these things is another red herring.
However, there is absolutely no reason for people to go hungry, naked, and cold. Those folks become a less productive member of society. Their lost productivity probably exceeds the cost of feeding and clothing those unfortunate members of society.
Besides, the cost of welfare for the poor and destitute is minuscule compared to the cost of the Military Industrial Complex and other Corporate Welfare bull$#!t subsidies for major businesses like oil, agriculture, and pharmaceuticals, that regularly post massive profits.
Do food stamps count? There is a lot of gray area in that federal program along with a lot of other so called “need” programs.
What if someone at the top just came out and said this? Just laid it out?
If they do, they ought to have their bags packed because most of the public doesn’t want to hear it and their career in Washington will be over come the next election…
Jim,
Probably right, but a big part of me thinks most would say “No Sh^T!” and applaud. If there was real reform behind it I think tax hikes would work, but notice the disclaimer. A no-go.
The sorry truth is the programs mentioned above amount to a hill of beans in the grand scheme of the US budget. The big culprits: defense, social security, medicare. Let’s trim those back substantially and problem solved.
I am irritated by Baum’s column as it lumps completely different expenditures together and then looks at the whole as one unit, saying that we can’t afford it.
There can be no defense for stupid and/or criminal spending like compensating AIG counterparties dollar for dollar or homebuyer tax credit. At the same time, spending on food stamps and I would argue healthcare and childcare for the poor is generally a good thing.
On the revenue side, there is a bunch of low-hanging fruit not picked by corrupt lawmakers who can’t even close the loophole for hedge fundies taxed 15% for the 7-10 figure bonuses. Things like a financial transaction tax, and higher brackets for very high incomes (still way below Eisenhower rates) would collect huge revenue while discouraging parasitic activity (like high frequency trading).
So yes, government can’t afford everything. But it is a truism — the real problem and real outrage is enormous misallocation of funds on both spending and revenue sides.
So remind me, just how many billions of dollars have been spent on social security in the last few years and how many were spent on waging war or bailing out bankers and speculators? Its the bankers’ and the arms suppliers’ “entitlements” that we should be considering.