For those of you who don’t know it (and I don’t know why you would), your humble scribe with the Italian last name is also half German, some great, great, … great grandparents having come to Pennsylvania Dutch country from Baden Baden sometime in the early 1800s, or so I’m told. As such, austerity is not an unfamiliar concept and, according to this report in Spiegel Online, the rest of Europe is getting more familiar with that word today.
German Government Agrees on Historic Austerity Program
The German government put together the largest austerity package since World War II on Monday, with spending cuts and new business levies aimed at saving 80 billion euros by 2014. Chancellor Angela Merkel says Germany, as Europe’s largest economy, must set an example.
The German government on Monday announced plans to reduce spending by €80 billion ($95.7 billion) by 2014 in the largest package of cuts since World War II. The austerity program aims at reducing the budget deficit and helping to protect the euro as it continues its slide.
“We have to save €80 billion by 2014 to put our financial future back on a solid footing,” Merkel told a press conference on Monday afternoon. She said the budget cuts for Germany, Europe’s largest economy, were a “unique show of strength” that signalled her government’s commitment to tackling the European debt problems that have plunged the euro single currency into crisis.
Of course, others in Europe are probably calling it something quite different while, here in the U.S., Keynesian economists are probably just shaking their heads again, muttering something about how “the Germans just don’t get it”.
Right or wrong – whether this plunges the whole world into a deflationary abyss from which there is no escape or if, somehow, this has the desired effect of restoring financial stability over time – it’s nice to see that there are at least a few elected officials in the world who question the idea of simply piling on more debt to cure the world’s economic ills.
“Germany as the largest economy has a duty to set a good example,” she said. A number of European nations have fashioned similar austerity programs, with Spain passing sharp cuts last week and Greece having pushed through far-reaching emergency savings measures earlier this year in a last ditch attempt to avoid bankruptcy.
The government plans to cut social spending in such areas as jobless benefits and will also shed many civil service jobs. There will be no reductions in government spending on education and research and no increases in income or value-added-tax, Merkel said.
Business subsidies, however, will be reduced and a new levy will be imposed on air traffic. Power companies will be charged a new nuclear fuel rod tax and there will also be a financial markets tax. The government also plans to save money through a comprehensive reform of the German army, the Bundeswehr, though conscription is to continue, despite musings to the contrary by German Defense Minister Karl Theodor zu Guttenberg.
…
Merkel said there was no alternative to drastic savings. “These are serious and difficult times,” she said. “We can’t afford everything we would like if we want to be able to shape our future.“The government has to make radical budget savings to meet its commitments to reduce the budget deficit. The Stability Pact governing Europe’s monetary union calls for Berlin to reduce the deficit from its current level of 5 percent of GDP to below the 3 percent ceiling by 2013.ty, the euro fell again against the dollar over the weekend and was trading on Monday below $1.20.
Angela Merkel even looks a little bit like my late grandmother.
There’s a pretty neat graphic that goes along with this story, one that has projections for national debt going in a direction that is surely quite unfamiliar to American readers.











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Tim,
Its been my experience that the Axis powers ancestry is a pretty good one if you can keep ze impulse to conquer Europe in check. My old boss came from a similar background and to this day is one of the sharpest guys I know! You fall into that category as well! Keep up the good work!
Danke
” whether this plunges the whole world into a deflationary abyss from which there is no escape”
The WSJ report today had a thing about how the few people getting jobs are being low-balled, as in what was a 40K job is now a 30K job. Oh yea, deflation and this will turn out to be a stupid move.
All of these cuts, plus in the states the state governments are cutting and there is no job growth and wage deflation, this will not end well, especially if republicans win in November and start that tax cuts for the rich and blow the deficits out of the water (or maybe a war with Iran).
I think Obama and the Democrats have made Bush look like a budget deficit hawk. Republicans are looking a lot better right now since we’ve had four years of reckless Democratic spending with an additional two years of Obama add-ons to our entitlement woos.
Bush has a trillion in unfunded tax cuts and at least a trillion in two wars. Nice try.
I ran into that at a job interview last week. I asked for low 40s (which is what the job in question paid 15 years ago). They were thinking more like 28K. Looking at a 500 mile/week commute (and $8 dollar gas being one Iranian stupid stunt away), I couldn’t see it for a 50 to 60 hour/week salaried job.
It will be deflation and it will be unavoidable, but not necessarily in dollar terms and not because of all the spending cuts. Cuts generally mean we don’t need more of that type of activity. Money not spent by the governments will be spent by people, and more likely on more useful, sustainable activities. We’re in this mess because we had a stock bubble and then a housing bubble and now a government spending bubble. What happened in Greece and now in Europe is eventually coming here.
Then you have this which is what gets me, go after the people who are happy, then if they stay it costs the company more to retain them which cuts future hires.:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/04/disturbing-job-ads-the-un_n_600665.html
“It’s our preference that they currently be employed,” he said. “We typically go after people that are happy where they are and then tell them about the opportunities here. We do get a lot of applications blindly from people who are currently unemployed — with the economy being what it is, we’ve had a lot of people contact us that don’t have the skill sets we want, so we try to minimize the amount of time we spent on that and try to rifle-shoot the folks we’re interested in.”
“the German army … conscription is to continue”
1) It keeps young men out of trouble for a couple of years
2) It gives you the army you might need if things get really bad.
Isn’t Germany reducing spending (or raising taxes) by 80 billion Euros over FOUR years a big nothingburger? That’s like 3 days of QE in the U.S.
Dumb move Germany
I trust Nouriel.
While countries with large debt such as Italy should trim deficits and contain wages, Germany should spend more and raise wages to help fuel demand in the euro area, Nouriel Roubini, the New York University economist who predicted the financial crisis, said in an interview on June 5.
“Germany can afford having more stimulus not just this year but next year,” Roubini said in Trento, Italy.
http://www.henryckliu.com/page230.html
Public Debt Crisis caused by Bank Bailouts
The public debt had been pushed up sharply in the last two years by the trillions that governments run by free market policymakers pumped into distressed banks to prevent their collapse from proprietary speculation in deregulated markets. Recent figures from the German Bundesbank showed that in 2008 and 2009, some 53% of Germany’s new public debt was used to rescue distressed financial institutions. The total new public debt rose by €183 billion in those two years; the costs involved in supporting distressed financial institutions amounted to €98 billion.
Wow! Check out the numbers from above. They almost match. THE BANKERS are winning.
Smart move Germany.
Yes you can afford to spend more stimulus money, a lot more in fact. Your economy is the soundest in the Eurozone. But you instead will implement an austerity budget. This sort of prudence is utterly unthinkable, incomprehensible in America.
Very smart move Germany.
In about 2-3 years, Germany (perhaps with France) and China can come together and form an Euro-Yuan currency partnership. With your finance and economy in order, with huge growing population and world’s most advanced technology and creativity, your partnership will blow away the US dollar as principal reserve currency for good.
Americans will continue to find this outcome incomprehensible. But they would have to think hard, very hard, about it.
How would the economy be in order? As I have already posted the public debts are there to make creditors aka banks whole. Not for the public pensions or welfare or public investment. Hell even Tim posted this a few days ago. He must have forgotten or something.
If debt is the problem then abandon debt financing. In other words don’t pay back bogus interest. It is not sustainable. Restructure, nationalize then privatize and start anew.
Tim, my grandparents imigrated from Baden Baden in 1925. I grew up hearing stories of being paid in wheelbarrows of cash every couple of hours. I also heard many US Great Depression stories. All that probably has a lot to do with my Austr-Libertarian leanings.
Apples don’t fall far from the tree…
I suspect that some of my ancestors came from Germany too. In about 450 AD.