REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Which Way to the G20 Meeting?

What would you do if you were a rent-a-cop working security at the G20 meeting and you saw a car like this tooling around the streets of Toronto in close proximity to where the collective political and economic brain trust was about to gather?

According to this report in the Globe and Mail, they pulled the guy over and started asking a few questions. Good move. Shown below is what they found inside that homemade storage container deftly attached to his Subaru (I think that’s a Subaru – it’s Canada).

(more…)







More fallout from the burst housing bubble comes in news that ward of the state Fannie Mae is telling potential “strategic defaulters” that, if they choose that option, they won’t be able to get another Fannie Mae mortgage for seven years. As detailed in this report at Fortune, since the U.S. government now is the U.S. mortgage market (and that’s not likely to change anytime soon), that means they won’t be able to get another home loan.

Fannie cracks down on walkaways

The government-backed mortgage company said Wednesday that borrowers who default while they are able to pay won’t be able to get another Fannie Mae (FNM) mortgage for seven years. The company said the stiffer terms would “encourage borrowers to work with their servicers and pursue alternatives to foreclosure.”

Fannie also threatened to sue homeowners who walk away from their mortgages in states where such deficiency judgments are permitted.

The moves come as falling house prices leave more homeowners under water on their loans, and weak employment and income trends are putting pressure on debt-soaked households. Officials fear a spate of walkaways could send house prices tumbling again, renewing pressure on the banking industry.

Meanwhile, those who do walk may have few alternatives, given the near total government control of the mortgage market now.

It’s probably safe to say that this is the final “nail in the coffin” for the whole idea of a U.S. “ownership society”, a notion that was once endorsed by the U.S. government. Now it seems they’re much more interested in the citizens continuing to own the debt than the house.

Tagged with:  

It’s hard to believe that, after continuing clear evidence of an extraordinarily weak housing market that only improves temporarily when the government applies cardiac defibrillator paddles, some are still optimistic. The fact that consensus estimates were so far off the mark this week – by almost 10 percent for existing home sales and by a whopping 30 percent for new home sales – is a good indication of how wrong “the consensus” has been.

The latest slant on the data, uttered by Franklin Templeton’s Michael Materasso in this Bloomberg interview, is that if you average the data, somehow, things aren’t as bad as they seem. I don’t know, does this look any better to you?

However you look at it, new home sales aren’t improving from levels that – for more than two years now – have been below the pre-2008 low and that’s before adjusting for the growth in population. Prior to the housing boom going bust, the worst single month homebuilders saw was an annual sales rate of 400,000 in January of 1991 – that’s better than what we’ve had since late-2008 and today’s population is about 25 percent higher.

Tagged with:  

Tim and Larry’s Agenda for the World

For the benefit of those attending this weekend’s G20 gathering, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and National Economic Council Director Larry Summers laid out their agenda for how the global economy can be restored to its former glory in this WSJ op-ed.

First, the G-20 must continue to work together to secure the global recovery it did so much to bring about. We must ensure that global demand is both strong and balanced. While the U.S. was the major source of demand for the world economic growth before the crisis, global demand must rest on many pillars going forward.

Second, we need to accelerate efforts to establish a global framework for financial regulation. Here at home, we are on the verge of completing the most sweeping financial reform in more than 70 years.

Third, we need to make progress on other global challenges that are essential to the future security and prosperity of the world. Alongside our efforts to lay a new foundation for economic growth, we must follow through on our common commitment to raise living standards across developing countries and to make smarter investments in areas like agricultural development and food security.

In addition, we must address the urgent challenge of our energy needs, as the current disaster in the Gulf makes clear. In Pittsburgh, the G-20 countries agreed to phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies over time. The U.S. has laid out how it intends to achieve this goal, and we urge other G-20 countries to demonstrate their commitment to this critical objective by detailing how and when they plan to eliminate policies that encourage the overconsumption of fossil fuels.

What about motherhood and apple pie? They’re good too…

They’ve been building a lot of fences and hiring a lot of rent-a-cops ahead of th G-20 gathering in Toronto where the sharp Atlantic-divide about how much money to print and/or borrow to stimulate struggling economies will be a main topic of conversation.

The dissemination of videos like this will certainly make it more difficult for the world’s most powerful bankers to continue doing what they’ve been doing, though it may take a while as more and more unemployed workers try to understand how the global monetary system works and how we got into such an economic mess.

Thursday Morning Links

MUST READS
Fed gloom hits stocks – Reuters
Germany fires pre-G20 broadside at US criticism – AFP
Trichet Explains Why Soros Is Wrong About the Euro – CNBC
Soros tells Germany to step up to its responsibilities, or leave EMU – Telegraph
Betting Who’s Right on Housing: Baker-Whitney vs Maki-Harris – Bloomberg
Senators Prepare A Citigroup-Sized Hole In Volcker Rule – CNBC
Prisoners, scammers profit on home-buyer tax credit – MarketWatch
On Wall Street, So Much Cash, So Little Time – NY Times
Confidence Waning in Obama, U.S. Outlook – WSJ

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil extends losses on demand concerns – AFP
Gold flat to firmer after Fed’s low-rate vow – Reuters
U.S. Financial Conditions Just Collapsed Back To Crisis Levels – Business Insider
Gross Vows This Time Different as El-Erian Leads Equities Push – Bloomberg
Prices shine but no takers for gold – Commodity Online
Cap back after robot nudge stalls oil collection – AJC

MISCELLANY
Outlook Grim For Jobs Bill Ahead Of Vote – HuffPo
Big job looms for consumer protection agency – USA Today
Krugman Criticism Bolsters Weber in Germany – WSJ
G-20 leaders facing worries about rising deficits – AP
Canada’s conservative approach to mortgages could provide model for U.S. – WaPo
Tax credit offers no boost to Las Vegas home sales, prices – Las Vegas Sun
Geithner Credits Signs of Housing Market Stabilization to TARP – Housing Wire
Fed Keeps Rate Pledge, Markets `Less Supportive’ of Growth – Bloomberg
Why central bankers will lose more sleep – Time

 
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made