Raul Maestres of executive placement firm Korn/Ferry in Venezuela commented the other day about the plight of FOREX traders now that President Hugo Chavez is taking over brokerage firms left and right in yet another attempt to keep the currency from falling. Maestres noted, “It’s not the best moment to find work”. The latest details of how financial markets in Venezuela are faring these days are in this story at Bloomberg.

The brokerage business is in danger of becoming obsolete in this socialist nation, said Noris Aguirre, president of clearing firm Caja Venezolana de Valores. Since November, Venezuela’s securities regulator has taken control of about 35 percent of the 112 trading firms and closed four after they were blamed for the 27 percent drop in the bolivar through May 18. That may leave up to 2,500 without jobs even as Chavez says his biggest economic priority is preserving employment.

Chavez, a 55-year-old former paratrooper who’s been in power for 11 years, says the country doesn’t need such companies and accuses them of exploiting loopholes to become rich. The government banned investment instruments known as mutuos in February — which are akin to repurchase agreements, or repos — and prohibited brokers from trading in a new currency market established last month. Securities firms use repos to borrow money to finance positions in bonds and other securities.

In a speech on May 23 to supporters, Chavez said his country should eliminate brokerages.

“We’re going to respond strongly against these thieves that are trying to wash their hands now,” Chavez said. “There’s no economic reason for the weakening of the bolivar. It’s a huge fraud against the republic.”

And you thought it was tough to find a job  on Wall Street…







In updating the graphic for the companion investment website Iacono Research at the conclusion of the second quarter the other day, I couldn’t help but notice that the last decade’s best performing mutual fund, Ken Heebner’s CGM Focus (CGMFX), didn’t do so well and the model portfolio at Iacono Research is now back out in front.

You can see why the Pimco Total Return fund (PTTRX) has become so popular in recent years – slow and steady seems to have won them a lot of new clients despite the four percent front-end loads. Of course, the real lesson in the performance data above might be that simpler is better – if you had only sold your stocks and bought dumb ‘ol gold coins back in 2000, you’d be far, far ahead of just about any other investment on the planet.

For Iacono Research subscription details (where fees are far lower than Pimco’s), click here.

Full Disclosure: Long the model portfolio at time of writing.

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More Minimum Wage Jobs in California

The big news out of the Golden State today is that, due to the arrival of the new fiscal year without a budget in place,  Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has ordered pay cuts for most of the state’s 200,000 employees to minimum wage levels of $7.25 per hour. Details are in this report from the San Francisco Chronicle.

State workers who experience pay cuts would be reimbursed once a state budget is in place. Most state employees are paid monthly at the end of the month, so if a budget is in place before the end of July, they would not receive a reduced paycheck.

Administration officials maintain they are required by law to reduce worker pay in the absence of a budget.

In a letter to Controller John Chiang, Debbie Endsley, the director of the Department of Personnel Administration wrote, “Today is July 1, 2010, and there is no state budget. Regrettably, we must take the steps … to adjust wages and salaries during this budget impasse.”

The administration made a similar order in 2008, but Schwarzenegger waited until the end of July to do so. Chiang defied that order and was sued by Schwarzenegger, but the budget impasse was resolved before a judge made a ruling in favor of the governor.

Chiang appealed the judge’s decision and oral arguments were heard last week. A subsequent decision could still be appealed to the state Supreme Court. The administration has argued that it is bound by law to slash pay to the federal minimum wage without a spending plan in place, while Chiang has countered that doing so is actually a violation of the law.

What looks to be the lack of federal money flowing to the states by a Congress now wary of adding to the national debt ahead of the November elections will no doubt make this year’s budget a bit more difficult to square than would otherwise be the case.

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The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls fell for the first time in six months, down 125,000 in June due largely to the loss of 225,000 part-time Census workers. The jobless rate fell from 9.7 percent to 9.5 percent, however, this was the result of 652,000 workers leaving the labor force and no longer being counted as unemployed.

The payroll total for May was revised upward, from 431,000 to 433,000, and the April data saw an even larger increase, from 290,000 to 313,000, however, these relatively large gains reflect temporary Census hiring in the spring that is now being  reversed.

(more…)

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Friday Morning Links

MUST READS
Stocks await jobs report – CNN/Money
Procyclicality everywhere – Economist
Economic rebound may be losing ground, data show – LA Times
Schwarzenegger orders minimum wage for California state workers – CNN
Spectre of an economic relapse stalks markets as China wobbles – Telegraph
How to Make an American Job Before It’s Too Late: Andy Grove – Bloomberg
Krugman or Paulson: Who You Gonna Bet On? – BusinessWeek
Chief bail-out officer – Economist

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil hovers near $73 as traders eye US jobs report – AP
Gold Rebounds on Increased Physical, Investor Demand – Business Week
Greenspan: ‘Fear factor’ spooks hopes for economic rebound – McClatchy
Golden wall of worry: Precious few gold timers are bullish now – MarketWatch
Hedge Funds Shutting as Investor Exodus Accelerates – Bloomberg
Jon Nadler On Gold’s Current Highs Not Sustainable – HAI
Bond funds bring safety in the numbers – MarketWatch

MISCELLANY
Myths of Austerity – Krugman, NY Times
Concern over economic recovery rising – Washington Post
Euro-zone unemployment unchanged at 10% – MarketWatch
China Growth Forecast Lowered Amid Lending Curb – Bloomberg
Housing market fragile despite low mortgage rates – Washington Post
Home Sales Poised to Drop In Coming Months – U.S. News
Real Estate Will Lead Economy into Depression – ETF Guide
IMF considers ‘new tool kit’ for market meltdowns – Washington Post
Credit Still Tightening, Fed Governor Says – NY Times

 
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