Apparently Not Too Stressful

I’ve yet to do a whole lot of reading on the results of the just concluded European bank stress tests that commercial banks passed (surprise!) with flying colors. Whether or not others have delved into the details or not hasn’t stopped a couple hundred of them from responding to this WSJ poll that clearly comes down on the side of the stress tests being more like an afternoon stroll than anything that would raise one’s blood pressure.

When you think about it, like the modern day currencies, commercial banks really are based on confidence more than anything else and faith that the system, as currently constructed, will somehow persevere regardless of how shaky it may appear at times. The word “credible” as used in the survey question above surely means something quite different today than if applied to stress tests that might have been conducted 50 years ago or 100 years ago. The current system of pure fiat money and fractional reserve banking, neither of which have any practical limits, is, basically, designed to fail.

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Bloomberg reports that 84 of the 91 banks subjected to stress tests devised by the European Union (along with some help from us Americans) passed with flying colors and surprisingly little capital needs to be raised, prompting concern that the tests weren’t all that stressful.

Seven of 91 European Union banks subject to stress tests failed with a combined capital shortfall of 3.5 billion euros ($4.5 billion), stirring concern the evaluations weren’t strict enough.

Hypo Real Estate Holding AG, Agricultural Bank of Greece SA and five Spanish savings banks have insufficient reserves to maintain a Tier 1 capital ratio of at least 6 percent in the event of a recession and sovereign-debt crisis, lenders and regulators said today.

The banks are in “close contact” with national authorities over the results and the need for more capital, said the Committee of European Banking Supervisors, which coordinated the tests. Governments are seeking to reassure investors about the health of financial institutions after the debt crisis pummeled the bonds of Greece, Spain and Portugal.

“It would have aided credibility if there had been a higher number of fails and a higher amount of capital raised,” said Jon Peace, a London-based analyst at Nomura International Plc. “People will be surprised that it is as small as that.

The important thing is that confidence in the banking system has been restored … or has it?

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A New Cop for Financial Markets

It will be interesting  to see what kind of details trickle out of the 2000+ page financial reform bill after more people begin to read it. There have been a few doozies from the health care reform bill that have just come to light, now many weeks after that bill was passed.

From the David Horsey archive at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer.

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It’s about time that the citizenry rose up and did something about some of the excessive pay packages for public officials in California. This crew from the city of Bell has been atop the list of the most egregious offenders for years, but, now all they have to show for their effort is millions in ill-gotten taxpayer money. Details are in this AP report.

Calif. council accepts resignations of 3 managers

BELL, Calif. — Three administrators whose huge salaries have sparked outrage in this small blue-collar suburb of Los Angeles have agreed to resign.

City Council members emerged from an hours-long closed session at midnight Friday and announced that they’d accepted the resignations of Chief Administrative Officer Robert Rizzo, Assistant City Manager Angela Spaccia and Police Chief Randy Adams.

Rizzo was the highest paid at $787,637 a year — nearly twice the pay of President Barack Obama — for overseeing one of the poorest towns in Los Angeles County.

Spaccia makes $376,288 a year and Adams earns $457,000, 50 percent more than Los Angeles Police Chief Charlie Beck.

The decision was announced at midnight to a crowd of angry Bell residents who anxiously had been waiting since the City Council began its meeting at 4:30 p.m. None of the administrators attended the session, according to the Times.

A related story in the LA Times explains how city officials got around laws limiting pay levels by conducting a special election  that drew only 400 votes. Of course, this is really just the tip of the iceberg, a point made quite clear with just a cursory review of this California public employee database hosted by the Sacramento Bee.

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Another Way to Look at HAMP

Gratuitous piling on seemed to be in order after the Obama Administration released the latest data a day or two ago for the flagship Making Home Affordable program otherwise known as HAMP (Home Affordable Modification Program).

While the universe of delinquent borrowers is now a few million higher than indicated above, the number of graduates into “permanent” loan modification is well known at 340,459 and, while their homes may now be affordable, their total debt load is certainly not.

To date, only about 6,357 permanent loan mods have been canceled (less than two percent), but how long can people continue to pay out 64 percent of their income for debt service?

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Friday Morning Links

MUST READS
Banks, markets await European stress test results – AP
Financial overhaul completed, tax fight looms – McClatchy
SEC watchdog will probe Goldman settlement timing – Reuters
Key lieutenants ensured passage of financial regulation overhaul – WaPo
More homeowners get help outside of federal program – USA Today
Calif. county asks state for millions in bailout – SLO.com
CA city seeks resignations of high-paid officials – AP
Credit card issuers increase non-penalty fees – WaPo
ECB’s Trichet Calls for Fiscal Tightening – CNBC

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil Declines From 11-Week High – Bloomberg
Gold firms on dollar ahead of stress test results – Reuters
Euro Climbs as German Sentiment Outweighs Stress-Test Worries – Bloomberg
Gold moving towards global reserve status – Gartman – Mineweb
Strong Outlooks To Push S&P Above 1100 Resistance? – CNBC
Market Timers Remain Subdued About Stocks – MarketWatch

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/FED
Leading Economic Indicators Fell 0.2% – Bloomberg
Obama signs measure extending unemployment benefits – DMN
Moody’s warns of Hungary downgrade after IMF breakdown – Reuters
U.K. economy posts surprise second-quarter surge – MarketWatch
Study: Foreclosed homes lose 27% of value – Boston Herald
Home Prices are Improving in Ways that Trouble Housing Market – HousingWire
Family bought worthless 2nd mortgage at foreclosure auction – SC Sentinel
Mortgage Securities It Holds Pose Sticky Problem for Fed – NY Times
What Does Wall Street Really Want From Ben Bernanke? – CNBC

 
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