Apparently, after what’s happened to the global financial system over the last few years, the world’s central bankers have had a dramatic change in thinking about gold bullion, formerly known as the “barbarous relic”. A metal once considered to be a remnant of a bygone era is now increasingly viewed as not only relevant, but “the most important” central bank asset.
The details are in this Financial Times report($) (alternate link):
Even so, the more positive trend towards gold was highlighted recently by UBS, the Swiss bank, in its annual poll of central bank and sovereign wealth funds. It found nearly a quarter of central banks believed gold would become the most important reserve asset in the next 25 years.
At its annual seminar for sovereign institutions, UBS surveyed more than 80 central bank reserve managers, sovereign wealth funds and multilateral institutions with more than $8,000bn in assets. The results were not weighted for assets under management.
Asked what the most important reserve asset would be in 25 years, roughly half of polled officials chose the US dollar, but 22 per cent chose gold. Bullion was the second most popular response, well above others such as Asian currencies or the euro.
Not surprisingly, given the combination of U.S. dollar hegemony and a seemingly insatiable desire in Washington to borrow, print, and spend our way back to the prosperity we once knew, the appeal of gold over paper money is strongest in emerging market economies where the standard of living is still rising and the future still seems brighter.



At its annual seminar for sovereign institutions, UBS surveyed more than 80 central bank reserve managers, sovereign wealth funds and multilateral institutions with more than $8,000bn in assets. The results were not weighted for assets under management.







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I think 25 years is a long time horizon. Well, at least they’re acknowledging it.
Tim,
In your opinion, what are the chances
that in the near future the dollar will be replaced by
a defacto gold standard — e.g., some sort of financial
instrument that is backed by X oz. of gold ? Maybe
something along GLD but more convenient for
both everyday use and in commerce.
— a fan of this site
Dollar will be replace by microchip.
When the paper will disapear, you will get it.
Maybe I will get it too. But that’s a looser bet.
The chip is there (only) to help you to get out of…
THE MESS THAT GREENSPAN MADE.
Virtually no chance in the near future, but who knows in the long run.
Chips — yet more funny money. I recall that
during the last Great Depression, people in some
parts of the US were using real clam shells with
the amount painted on them.
Needles needed to implant the chip.
Tattoo?
(Take it easy, gold bugs are crazy)
Gold seems to me to be a safety net against things getting bad, but too bad. You would use your higher value gold coins to buy things you need to live like food, water, and energy. At some point you would run out of gold coins and then your up the creek like everyone else. Why not skip the gold coins altogether and make yourself a supplier of food, water or energy? That way the gold savers would be paying you. I own a large ranch with its own supply of water, sewer, unlimited amount of wood fuel, and the ability to raise food. I think a better investment then gold at this time is solar cells, and shotgun shells. What do you all think, self sufficiency or the power to buy stuff?????