It’s not too hard to understand why, if you happen to run the biggest bond fund on the planet and you find yourself in the middle of the biggest bond bubble the world has ever seen, you’d do whatever you could to keep bond prices from falling for as long as possible.
That’s why it shouldn’t have come as too big of a surprise yesterday at the Treasury Department’s Conference on the Future of Housing Finance to hear Pimco chief Bill Gross say that, not only should the nation’s mortgage market be nationalized (formalizing what everyone already understands to be true about U.S. mortgage debt – that the U.S. government is on the hook for a large portion of it), but that it might give the economy a little boost if billions more in taxpayer money were to be used to refinance all mortgages across this great land into low rate government loans.
While Bill was in Washington, Pimco’s Managing Director Paul McCulley was busy putting the finishing touches on his monthly commentary back in tony Newport Beach in which he argues that the central bank should take the governor off their printing press and let ‘er rip.
* When the economy suffers from Post Bubble Disorder, characterized by private sector deleveraging and a fat-tail risk of deflation, conventional monetary policy is not enough.
* In such circumstances, the central bank has a profound duty to act unconventionally, ballooning its balance sheet by monetizing assets, either government or private, or both.
* The central bank has a profound duty to meld itself with the fiscal authority, until the fat risk of deflation is eliminated.
There you have it. The unholy melding of mortgage finance, the central bank’s printing press, and the big spenders up on Capitol Hill in order to ward off deflation in a post-bubble world, all of which should keep the bond bubble fully inflated for some time.



* When the economy suffers from Post Bubble Disorder, characterized by private sector deleveraging and a fat-tail risk of deflation, conventional monetary policy is not enough.
At its annual seminar for sovereign institutions, UBS surveyed more than 80 central bank reserve managers, sovereign wealth funds and multilateral institutions with more than $8,000bn in assets. The results were not weighted for assets under management.



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