REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

In an interview with Kitco News, Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) said that he plans to introduce legislation next year that will allow for the auditing of U.S. gold reserves, said reserves believed to exist (though it’s not clear how much has been leased out and when it’s due back) but not properly counted in some time (since the Eisenhower Administration).

Paul dropped the news in the interview, indicating that the bill still does not have an official name yet but will be unveiled at the start of the new U.S. Congress.

“If there was no question about the gold being there, you think they would be anxious to prove gold is there,” he said of the Federal Reserve.

This is not the first time the congressman has made his pitch. “In the early 1980s when I was on the gold commission, I asked them to recommend to the Congress that they audit the gold reserves – we had 17 members of the commission and 15 voted no to the audit,” said Paul. “I think there was only one decent audit done 50 years ago,” he said.

Though Paul did not say whether there is any truth to claims that there is no gold in Fort Knox or the New York Federal Reserve, he said, “I think it is a possibility.”

“If we ever get around to deciding we should use gold in relationship to our currency we ought to know how much is there,” said Paul. “Our Federal Reserve admits to nothing and they should prove all the gold is there. There is a reason to be suspicious and even if you are not suspicious why wouldn’t you have an audit?” he said.

Paul also offers a few thoughts on the Federal Reserve (abolish it), the use of gold and silver as legal tender (he’s for it), which new regulations he’d get rid of (all of them), and the U.S. economy (no double-dip recession, just one big single-dip).

Tagged with:  






INSIDE JOB

Here’s what looks to be one of the better films about the financial crisis – INSIDE JOB – from Academy Award nominated filmmaker Charles Ferguson, narrated by Matt Damon.

Favorite line: “These people are risk takers, they’re impulsive. You see a lot of cocaine use, prostitution” and don’t miss another smackdown of Hubris Incarnate with a Fatter Wallet (Frederic Mishkin) at about the 1:35 mark.

Wednesday Morning Links

MUST READS
Ireland stung by S&P credit rating cut – Reuters
Why America stopped buying homes – Financial Post
Plunging home sales could sink recovery – CNN/Money
Ron Paul Calls for Audit of US Gold Reserves – Kitco News
Housing Market Plunged in July, Fueling Anxiety – NY Times
Hey bloggers! Philly wants you to buy a license – CNN/Money
Two dangerous myths about the stimulus – MarketWatch
Mr. Gross Goes to Washington – Gross, Pimco
The China Syndrome – newgeography

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil rises slightly as economic data tempers gains – AP
Safe-haven buying lifts gold to 8-week highs – Reuters
Japan keeps intervention option open to curb yen – Reuters
Bond Market Bulls Thumb Noses at Pimco’s Gross – Bloomberg
Japanese stocks back in bear market as yen hits 15-year high – LA Times
Asset Bubble Addicts Just Can’t Shake the Habit – Baum, Bloomberg
India leads global gold surge – Commodity Online

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
July durable orders up less-than-expected 0.3% – MarketWatch
Economy Caught in Depression, Not Recession: Rosenberg – CNBC
Stimulus boosted U.S. GDP by up to 4.5 percent in 2Q 2010 – Reuters
Threat of Inflation Underestimated in China: Strategist – CNBC
German Business Confidence Unexpectedly Increases – Bloomberg
60% of Delinquent Mortgages Not in Loss Mitigation – Housing Wire
The best moves for home buyers and sellers – CNN/Money
Loan Mod Profiles: Fed Up, Giving Up – ProPublica
Fed’s Evans says double-dip risk has risen – Reuters
Bernanke’s helicopter could move to new altitude – MarketWatch

 

Yun: “We Had a Solid Housing Recovery”

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, appeared on Fox Business News to talk about today’s horrific decline in existing home sales.

Favorite line: “It’s not a sky-is-falling scenario … at least not yet”.

Tagged with:  

The “Bond Bubble”

[The following commentary is from the latest issue of the Weekend Update (Volume V, Issue 34) at Iacono Research. For subscription details, click here.]

The increasing amount of commentary on the subject of whether or not the world now faces a “bond bubble” combined with a recent article detailing the poor performance of inverse bond funds in 2010 seemed like sufficient justification to revisit a topic that was discussed here three weeks ago when I took “A Quick Look at Rising Rate Funds” (see Volume V, Issue 31).

Recall that, in the referenced discussion topic, short-term and long-term charts of Treasury yields were shown, in which it is clear to see that interest rates rose for decades to a peak in the early 1980s and have retreated from there to what now appears to be the end of another secular trend. Also, 13 inverse bond funds were presented in table form with the following three being suggested as likely candidates for the model portfolio when the time is right:

  • Profunds Rising Rates Opportunity 10 (RTPIX)
  • Rydex Inverse Government Long Bond Strategy (RYJUX)
  • ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF)

Obviously, as should be clear when looking at the graphic below, the time has not been right over the last four months because all three of these “unleveraged” funds – a key consideration for a position that may be held in the model portfolio for a very long time – have been big losers. Funds that apply leverage of between 1.25x and 3x have done much worse than the 1x funds, in some cases the year-to-date losses exceeding 40 percent.

(more…)

Existing Home Sales Plunge 27.2 Percent

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales plunged 27.2 percent in July after the homebuyer tax credit ended in June, roughly double the decline that analysts were expecting. This is more confirmation that the housing market is in serious trouble, a double-dip decline in home prices now even more likely to come in the months ahead.

Home sales fell from a downwardly revised annual rate of 5.26 million units in June to just 3.83 million in July, the lowest level since 1995. Inventory rose sharply, the months of supply metric soaring from an upwardly revised 8.9 months to 12.5 months, the highest level in 11 years. All things considered, markets are taking the news fairly well, so far…

Tagged with:  
Page 5 of 23« First...345671020...Last »
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made