Silver Tests $20, Turns Back

It was an exciting day for silver early on, the metal poking its head above the $20 an ounce mark for the first time since March of 2008 – not once, but twice -  before dipping back down to the high $19 range where it seems likely to end today.

The move up was no doubt spurred by the $12 surge in the gold price just after markets opened in New York as discussed in this item from earlier today and, when the yellow metal failed to add those gains, silver traders probably looked at each other as if it had just gone silent in a game of musical chairs. Tomorrow is another day…

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We’ve been hearing a lot about the troubles of 104-year old copper heiress Huguette Clark because the Clark fortune was made in these parts and the local news outlets  never seem to tire of retelling the rich history of mining in Southwest Montana. Now, the story seems to be going global, the Telegraph filing this report and another account coming from down under.

A LAWSUIT accuses Citibank of costing a 104-year-old heiress’ trust fund up to $US80 million ($87 million) by failing to invest its money properly, the New York Post reported overnight.

More than 70 years after a $US3 million fund was established for reclusive Manhattan copper heiress Huguette Clark “the trust’s value was still only $US3 million” because it was never invested in stocks and bonds as it should have been for at least part of that time, claim explosive documents filed by two former Citibank trust officers.

The two former trust officers are soon set to meet with the DA’s office, which is probing possible mismanagement of Ms Clark’s $US500 million fortune by her lawyer, Wallace Bock, and accountant, Irving Kamsler.

Ms Clark’s trust fund was set up by the heiress’s mother, Anna, in 1926, the year after Ms Clark’s father, US Senator William Clark, died. The eccentric heiress spent her life obsessively collecting dolls and shunning visitors, marrying once – briefly – and having no children. She has lived for the past two decades in Manhattan hospitals.

Her story only came to light recently after the media reported that Mr Bock kept her few, distant relatives from visiting her and had not objected to a convicted sex offender, Mr Kamsler, serving as her accountant.

This MSNBC story was apparently what prompted this latest round of news coverage. Whether the charges have any merit or not remains to be seen – it’s just kind of nice to know that somebody is suing Citibank for something.

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Young Investors Wise Up, Shun Stocks

Another interesting chart from the folks at CNN/Money shows in graphic detail the changing views about stock ownership by age group, the accompanying report noting how the Generation Y crowd is currently being hit with a double whammy – a recent history of market crashes and a job market that is much worse than for older workers.

What’s amazing about this data is the 35-49 age group where decades of conditioning that your best bet is “stocks for the long run” appears to have produced a nearly unshakable belief system. Even after ten years of dismal returns for equities (with the notable exception of gold stocks), Wall Street and the financial media should give themselves a pat on the back for being so successful in their efforts to convince the public that stocks are still a good bet despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

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Orzag: Extend the Tax Cuts for Two Years

In his editorial debut at the New York Times, not long after abandoning his post as the director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, Peter Orzag offers these thoughts on the Bush tax cuts and the nation’s perilous fiscal and economic condition.

The nation faces a nasty dual deficit problem: a painful jobs deficit in the near term and an unsustainable budget deficit over the medium and long term. This month, the Senate will be debating an issue with significant implications for both — what to do about the Bush-era tax cuts scheduled to expire at the end of the year.

In the face of the dueling deficits, the best approach is a compromise: extend the tax cuts for two years and then end them altogether. Ideally only the middle-class tax cuts would be continued for now. Getting a deal in Congress, though, may require keeping the high-income tax cuts, too. And that would still be worth it.

Why does this combination make sense? The answer is that over the medium term, the tax cuts are simply not affordable. Yet no one wants to make an already stagnating jobs market worse over the next year or two, which is exactly what would happen if the cuts expire as planned.

Higher taxes now would crimp consumer spending, further depressing the already inadequate demand for what firms are capable of producing at full tilt. And since financial markets don’t seem at the moment to view the budget deficit as a problem — take a look at the remarkably low 10-year Treasury bond yield — there is little reason not to extend the tax cuts temporarily.

Orzag goes on to argue that higher taxes are simply unavoidable if the government’s ends are to come a little closer to meeting each year. When is that new fiscal year budget due?

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Gold Moonshot!

What a way to begin the week… The gold price just surged about $12 an ounce in a matter of minutes after trading began in New York while just about everything else (except, of course, the U.S. dollar and U.S. debt) is heading in the other direction.

New fears that the European bank stress tests weren’t all that stressful as reported($) in the Wall Street Journal today would appear to be the proximate cause for investors once again taking a shine to the yellow metal. It could be a very interesting week…

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Tuesday Morning Links

MUST READS
Obama Offers a Transit Plan to Create Jobs – NY Times
European bank shares fall on stress tests report – Reuters
Housing Woes Bring a New Cry: Let the Market Falls – NY Times
New council of regulators will take aim at systemic risks – Washington Post
Dangerous Defeatism taking hold among America’s economic elites – Telegraph
Bernanke, Bubble Denier: The Greatest Fed Tool of All – Economic Policy Journal
How likely is a replay of September 2008’s awful stock market? – MarketWatch
The Prosecution’s Case Against Alan Greenspan – Gonzalo Lira
The Right Comparison Between Recoveries – White House Blog
Report: Money can buy you happiness, to a point – AP
One Nation, Two Deficits – Orzag, NY Times

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil below $73 due to stronger dollar – Economic Times
Gold gives up early gains, econ worries support – Reuters
Rickards: Get Out Of Stocks and the Fed’s Final “Golden” Bullet – Zero Hedge
Do the Chinese really believe the U.S. is selling down its gold reserves? – Mineweb
Burry of `The Big Short’ Bets on Farmland, Gold After Subprime Profits – Bloomberg
Despite recent gains, stock may be headed lower soon – MarketWatch
Russia’s Medvedev forecasts early grain ban removal – Reuters
The new young investor: Shunning stocks – CNN/Money
The Recognition Window – Hussman Funds

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
1938 in 2010 – Krugman, NY Times
Plan B for Obama on the economy – Financial Times
Taking the ‘Un’ Out of Unemployment – NY Times
Labor back in power in Australia, miners hold their breath – Mineweb
China’s census widens to include vacant housing – MarketWatch
Greek, Irish Bonds Declineon Bank Holdings Concern – Bloomberg
How About a reward for responsible homeowners – Fortune
Rescue from foreclosure? Frustration, anger grow – Seattle Times
Kohn: Fed must embark on new stimulus blitz – Telegraph
Goldman still expects a further $1 trillion of QE – FT Alphaville

 
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