REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Keen on Keiser

Steve Keen, Associate Professor in economics and finance at the University of Western Sydney and author of “Debunking Economics” talked with Max Keiser last week from an economics conference in Colorado  (start at about the 13 minute mark).

As Keen details after checking in on some of the presentations, the profession doesn’t seem to have learned much over the last few years (much to the delight of Wall Street one would presume) setting the stage for an even bigger disaster sometime in our future.

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Mr. Hu Goes to Washington

Chinese President Hu Jintao will hop on a plane tomorrow and arrive in Washington on Wednesday to talk to U.S. President Barack Obama about a number of issues, most of which will, in some way or another, be related to the value of the yuan.

After making a barrage of announcements in recent weeks about further liberalizing trading in the Chinese currency, small steps on the road to it becoming freely convertible sometime this decade (maybe), the tightly controlled yuan reached a new all-time high against the dollar last week as it often does prior to Chinese officials meeting with important heads of state who, almost unanimously, think the currency is undervalued.

So, given all this recent good will, it comes as something of a surprise that the media-shy Hu would take this opportunity to respond to questions posed by U.S. newspapers in which he characterized  the current dollar-based global monetary system as  a sort of relic of a bygone era. Well, those werent’ his exact words… Here’s the relevant Q&A s it appeared($) in the Wall Street Journal today and this related WSJ story is worth a look as well.

4. What do you think will be the U.S. dollar’s future role in the world? How do you see the issue of making the RMB an international currency? Some think that RMB appreciation may curb China’s inflation, what’s your view on that?

A: The current international currency system is the product of the past. As a major reserve currency, the U.S. dollar is used in considerable amount of global trade in commodities as well as in most of the investment and financial transactions. The monetary policy of the United States has a major impact on global liquidity and capital flows and therefore, the liquidity of the U.S. dollar should be kept at a reasonable and stable level.

(more…)

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Buyer’s Market in Housing to Continue

More evidence of a continuing buyer’s market in housing and of a double-dip for home prices comes via this Gallup poll where Americans seem resigned to little improvement in the nation’s property market due to the glut of foreclosures and weak job growth.

When looking back at this, historians will no doubt have a field day with all the efforts by the government to intervene in the housing market last year as Uncle Sam was giving away $8,000 to each new homebuyer and its central bank was buying $1+ trillion in mortgage securities while doing its level best to keep mortgage rates at freakishly low levels. The effect of these actions on the housing market appears to have been only temporary.

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Monday Morning Links

MUST READS
China Stocks Fall Most in Two Months – Bloomberg
Hopes fade for quick boost to EU fund – MarketWatch
China’s Hu upbeat, resists U.S. pressure on yuan – Reuters
China bank loans near 500 billion yuan in January – Economic Times
Hu Highlights Need for U.S.-China Cooperation, Questions Dollar – WSJ
French Bakers to Raise Baguette Prices on Wheat Costs – Bloomberg
EMU policies pushing Southern Europe into systemic crisis – Telegraph
Pawlenty opposes raising federal debt ceiling – AP
National debt: The ugly facts – CNN/Money
The Role of the Dollar: Who Cares? – Krugman, NY Times
Germany May Get Its Bundesbank Back – WSJ

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil slips to $91 after China tightening move – AP
Gold steadies, dollar restricts gains – Reuters
OPEC Raises 2011 Demand Forecast on Asian Consumption – Bloomberg
Hedge funds bet China is a bubble close to bursting – Telegraph
Yuan Hong Kong Premium Widens on Supply Limits – Bloomberg
Oil shocks and economic recessions – EconBrowser
The Black Swan Events of 2011? – Fox Business News
Why gold isn’t a bubble – Fleckenstein, MSN Money

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
Big Retailers Fill More Aisles With Groceries – NY Times
Is NJ’s unemployment program too generous? – Daily Record
The New Normal: High Unemployment to Last For Years – Fiscal Times
Schumer to revive China tariff legislation – MarketWatch
Irish lenders besiege central bank for emergency loans – Telegraph
The motives behind China’s euro purchases – MarketWatch
Home prices in 70 major Chinese cities up 6.4% in December – xinhuanet
NY Home Values May Post First Annual Increase Since 2008 – Bloomberg
Fed Watch: Housing and the Fed in 2005 – Economist’s View
Fed’s Plosser: Monetary policy has its limits – Reuters
Number of the Week: Big Banks Gobble Up Market Share – WSJ

 
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