REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Bill Kristol Ponders a New Gold Standard

I’m not a big Weekly Standard reader (in fact, I think I’ve only read it a couple of times at airports back when they used to give them away) and, while Bill Kristol’s Sunday morning musings may not always ring true, this recent commentary did (hat tip NA).

And it’s worth further asking–as more and more people are beginning to  ask–whether a modernized international gold standard, which anchors  currencies to a standard outside government manipulation, wouldn’t  better serve the interests of free and limited government both at home  and abroad. After all, it’s the dollar’s status as a reserve currency  that has allowed the U.S. government to amass huge debts, debts which  the legislatively imposed debt ceiling has been unsuccessful in  limiting. Fiat currency seems to be related to bloated and unlimited  government, and to speculative bubbles, and to international  instability. Do we just to have to live with this, or simply hope for  better Fed chairmen?

Yes and yes. Amassing huge debts seems to be the one thing that, up until last November, both parties could agree on and it remains to be seen whether election year deficit rhetoric turns out to be anything more than that. As for better Fed chairmen, as long as the big banks keep getting bigger, that seems to be a lost hope.

Tagged with:  






Existing Home Sales Surge

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales surged last month, up 12.3 percent from an annual rate of 4.7 million in November to 5.28 million in December.

Rising mortgage rates that have spurred some fence-sitters to take action and seasonal factors during what is a slow time of the year are surely involved in the sales gain that ranks as the biggest sales month since the housing bubble burst, excluding months that were unduly influenced by the 2009-2010 homebuyer tax credit.

Distressed sales accounted for 36 percent of all sales, up from 33 percent in November, and the months of supply metric again fell sharply, from 9.5 months to just 8.1 months.

The median sales price was $168,000, down one percent from a year ago, and this is likely to go lower in the months ahead as distressed property sales make up a larger portion of sales during the quiet winter months.

Tagged with:  

SLV Shrinkage

Today’s action in the silver market (down almost $1 an ounce as this is written) will do little other than reinforce the recent trend for the “tonnes in the trust” at the world’s most popular silver ETF – the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV) – that is now almost 350 tonnes lighter than it was on the first day of the year.

Of course, this comes after 1,135 tonnes of silver were added in the fourth quarter with more than 1,700 tonnes entering the trust during the second half of 2010, so, thus far the exodus of metal has made only a small dent in the fund’s 10,575 tonne holdings.

This also comes at a time of record demand for silver coins at the U.S. Mint and exceptionally strong physical demand from Asia. The metal is long overdue for a good correction and it looks like one may now be underway.

Full Disclosure: Long SLV at time of writing

Tagged with:  

Thursday Morning Links

MUST READS
Spain to Ramp Up Bailout of Banks – WSJ
EU struggles to keep lid on Greek debt buyback talk – Reuters
Brazil slams brakes to curb inflation, risking hot money tsunami – Telegraph
China’s Quickening Economic Growth Fans Interest Rates Speculation – Bloomberg
Fitch: US Fiscal Metrics To Be Worst Among ‘AAA’ Sovereigns – iMarketNews
Brown to Propose Overhaul for California’s Underfunded Pensions – BusinessWeek
Greenspan Confirms the Fed’s Highly Leveraged Fix – aucontrarian
The Fourth American Revolution – The Burning Platform
A Food Chart To Keep Handy – Business Insider
Inflation Dilemma for Dollar Fans – WSJ

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil falls to near $90 on China inflation worries – AP
Gold Drops as Improved Outlook Curbs Haven Demand – Bloomberg
China lets its currency rise to new high – but slowly – LA Times
How Obama helped fuel a Wall Street boom – MarketWatch
Hedge fund industry assets swell to $1.92 trillion – Reuters
Dennis Gartman: Reversal of Consequence Upon Us – CNBC
Brace for a ‘perfect storm’ in gold – FT
Here Comes the Dumb Money! – WSJ

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
The Politics of Deflation – Mises
Optimism and worry as signs of recovery grow – LA Times
Strong China growth boosted by near £1 trillion of loans – Telegraph
New Zealand Inflation Rises Gains Most in Two Decades – Bloomberg
China overtakes Japan as world’s No. 2 economy – MarketWatch
Policymakers Hesitate with Spongy Loan Brakes – Caixin Online
The Mortgage Industry’s Reputation Challenge – CNBC
Military foreclosure debacle roughs up Dimon – Fortune
Big lenders may lose with simpler mortgage disclosure – Housing Wire
Fed dissenters may keep powder dry next week – Reuters
Bernanke’s Golden Dismount – IBT

 
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made