REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

The NFL, Socialism, and the U.S. Economy

On Real Time with Bill Maher, an interesting analogy was provided about how the National Football League and Major League Baseball differ, the former sharing revenue while the latter does not, and how, maybe, the U.S. economy should be more like football than baseball.

The thinking goes that, while the NFL has a much more level playing field (literally), making it easier for small market teams like Green Bay to attract talent and make it to the Super Bowl, you see the same teams in the baseball playoffs every fall because big market revenue (e.g., New York) goes to pay big market players only. Comments? Questions?

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A new study by Merrill Lynch shows that, despite the economic downturn and the hit that many retirement accounts have taken, one group of retirees or aspiring retirees seems to be doing just fine – the wealthy. This story at MarketWatch has the details.

While many Americans’ retirement looks bleak because they don’t have enough money saved, a majority of wealthy baby boomers say their standard of living in retirement will top that of their parents, according to a new survey.

Eighty-four percent of high-net-worth boomers, age 46 to 64, said their retirement will differ from their parents — and of that group 86% said they plan to be more active, and 72% said their standard of living will be higher, according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey of 1,000 people with investable assets of $250,000 or more.

Seventy percent of these boomers said they’ll work in retirement, at least part time, “to remain more active and engaged;” 26% said they’ll go back to school, 24% said they plan to learn a new trade, and 20% said they’ll start or keep running their own business.

When asked what word they’d use to describe retirement, 35% said “freedom,” 31% said “opportunity,” and 21% said “relaxation.” Just 9% said “uncertainty,” according to the Merrill Lynch survey.

One could argue about how “wealthy” is defined here because, odds are that typical retirees with a quarter million dollars in investable assets probably doesn’t think  of themselves that way, but, the point remains the same – if you’ve managed to build and preserve a sizable nest egg in recent years, you’ll probably do just fine.

Speaking from personal experience, the part about most baby boomers finding some sort of part-time work  in retirement makes a good deal of sense because, in addition to giving you something to do, it also takes some of the strain off of drawing down your retirement money. The trick is to find something that doesn’t seem like work.

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WSJ: Home Price Declines Accelerate

The Wall Street Journal reports that the pace of U.S. home price declines is accelerating, their latest survey indicating prices fell in all of the 28 major metropolitan areas they cover.

They also confirm other housing reports that show the inventory of unsold homes continuing to grow with more distress being seen in markets not previously thought of as major trouble spots such as Seattle and Portland.

Of course, the inventory situation is not likely to improve anytime soon as the foreclosure pipeline continues to fill faster than it empties, a Wall Street Journal report last week revealing that the average time since borrowers in foreclosure last made a mortgage payment has risen to a whopping 492 days.

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Monday Morning Links

MUST READS
Unrest in Egypt Unsettles Markets – NY Times
Egypt debt rating downgraded by Moody’s – BBC
Food staples starting to run out in Egypt – CNN
A Bank Crisis Whodunit, With Laughs and Tears – NY Times
The FCIC Report: Sound and fury, signifying nothing – Debt Watch
FCIC Report: Why The Demand for Bad Mortgage Loans? – Naked Capitalism
China Should Buy More Gold, Silver for Reserves, Daily Reports – Bloomberg
Goldman On What Happens To Oil As Egypt Contagion Flares – Zero Hedge
The 2015 banking crisis begins in commodities – FT Alphaville
How big is Chinese GDP? – China Financial Markets
American Eulogy – The Burning Platform
Home Prices Sink Further – WSJ

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil rises to near $90 amid Egypt strife – AP
Gold falters as safe-haven rally fizzles – Reuters
Why have top gold ETF holders been selling? – Bloomberg
The Meredith Whitney Effect Has Its Most Violent Week Yet – BI
Geopolitical unrest and world oil markets – EconBrowser
Is loading up on silver a good investment idea? – USA Today
Silver investment demand soars in India, China – Commodity Online
Is Gold’s Golden Era Over? – WSJ

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
What The GDP Report Means – Daily Capitalist
A modestly brighter GDP report – EconBrowser
Recessions Under the Gold Standard – Krugman, NY Times
Egypt and Tunisia usher in the new era of global food revolutions – Telegraph
Chinese property ‘bubble’ fuels hard landing fears – ChannelNews Asia
Inflation in China May Limit U.S. Trade Deficit – NY Times
Euro-zone inflation rate continues to rise – MarketWatch
Condemned to poverty in a housing market gone mad – The Age
Can booming job market save housing? – O.C. Register
AAA Rating Tough to Defend as U.S. Debt Soars – Hassett, HBloomberg
1836: The Death Of Our 2nd Central Bank – Real Clear Markets

 
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