REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

A Short Break

After a brief illness, a dear family member passed away late last night – he will be sorely missed by all of his friends and family.

We are now headed back to California – look for something new here later this week or, more likely, early next week.

 






While one week does not a trend make, the results for asset classes over the last few days as reported in the Wall Street Journal’s What’s Hot – and Not update looks an awful lot like early-2008, when the only things going up were commodity prices – and they went up a lot.

The situation in Libya looks like it will get worse before it gets better, so, look for more of the same in the week or two ahead. As for the spring (now only three weeks away), anything’s possible, but, more and more, 2011 is “rhyming” with 2008.

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The Best of the Bozeman Police Reports

It’s been a few weeks, but here are some of the recent highlights from the Bozeman Daily Chronicle Police Reports page along with some items submitted by the Sheriff’s Office.

There’s the usual drunk and disorderly fare this week but the inadvertent 911 calls have virtually stopped and the wildlife reports have slowed to a trickle, most animals apparently either hibernating of staying indoors. But, there has been a remarkable rise in “bird flipping” incidents and the normally quiet area of Big Sky – a rather large ski area about 45 minutes south of here but still in the county – has produced a number of matters for law enforcement to investigate at the peak of ski season.

  • A man drove off from a gas station on Valley Commons Drive around noon without paying for $50 worth of gas. The caller didn’t think it was intentional and the man returned to pay.
  • A group of teenagers hanging around a construction site on West Lamme Street around noon weren’t doing anything; they were just hanging around.
  • Someone drove into a driveway on Rocky Mountain Road during the night and fired off about 10 rounds.
  • Three intoxicated men were “flipping the bird” to passing vehicles on Tracy Ave. at 1 a.m.
  • Several loud parties were reported at the Huntley Lodge at Big Sky Resort at 2:40 a.m.

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Get Ready for Even Higher Gas Prices

I sometimes feel a little guilty living in one of the few parts of the U.S. (i.e., Southwest Montana) where the’ve shaded the region dark green in this graphic from Gasbuddy.com.

Fortunately, that feeling passes pretty quickly.

Unfortunately, we may all have to soon reacquaint ourselves with Gasbuddy if the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, the national average for the price at the pump now at its highest ever for this time of the year at $3.29 a gallon and set to go higher as the summer driving season approaches. I don’t know about you, but I’m not looking forward to hearing the word “staycation” again this summer.

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Griftopia’s Wonderful Chapter Two

I’ve not yet read Matt Taibbi’s Griftopia, but I’m adding it to my list of books to get if for no other reason than that Taibbi makes the financial crisis and the many ills of the Wall Street-Washington economy so entertaining. Of course, another reason is chapter two titled “The Biggest Asshole in the Universe”, what this review at OpenLettersMonthly dubs a “phenomenal disemboweling” of former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan.

Taibbi’s flourish about imagining the whole economy as a casino comes in Greenspan’s chapter. It’s appropriate, since Greenspan was given charge of vast swaths of economic policy during its conversion to a casino. Even in my senior year of high school’s introductory, half-semester course in economics, one of the few books we read was Maestro, Bob Woodward’s glowing account of the many supposedly perfect changes Alan Greenspan either made or directly advocated for, and got, during his tenure at the Fed. It never occurred to me as a 17-year-old, much less to America’s leading adult figures at the time, that entrusting one human with the entirety of American economic policy could cause some problems. Humans are flawed! And Taibbi would find Greenspan more flawed than most:

Greenspan’s rise is … a tale of a gerbilish mirror-gazer who flattered and bullshitted his way up the Matterhorn of American power and then, once he got to the top, feverishly jacked himself off to the attentions of Wall Street for twenty consecutive years–in the process laying the intellectual foundation for a generation of orgiastic greed and overconsumption and turning the Federal Reserve into a a permanent bailout mechanism for the super-rich.

It’s unclear if Wall Street was ever in the room while Alan Greenspan jacked off to its attentions for twenty consecutive years, but otherwise, Taibbi’s characterization works. Because the man with the most power to determine American economic policy was an ideologue: A one-time member of anti-government extremist Ayn Rand’s inner circle who used his powers as Fed chairman, and his persuasive lobbying abilities, to shift economic power dramatically in favor of Wall Street. Few seemed to notice about these changes when he was the “Maestro” and the bubble economy hadn’t exploded spectacularly. Taibbi is justified to call him “The Biggest Asshole in the Universe” as long as Greenspan keeps being invited to explain the economy on Meet the Press panels, weekly.

Now, I’m not big on ad hominem attacks, but I’m happy to make an exception in this case because the “gerbilish mirror-gazer” characterization really does work.

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Economic Growth Revised Down to 2.8% Rate

The Commerce Department reported that fourth quarter real economic growth in the U.S. slowed from an annual rate of 3.2 percent to 2.8 percent after broad-based downward revisions. This came as something of a surprise to analysts as consensus estimates were for upward revisions to about a 3.4 percent rate.

Both government spending and consumer spending were lower than previously thought, government outlays falling at a 1.5 percent rate rather than 0.6 percent and consumer spending increasing at a rate of 4.1 percent rather than 4.4 percent.

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