I’ll get to the existing homes sales report in just a bit, but, before doing so, I wanted to point readers to this commentary by Jonathon Weil at Bloomberg today that points out one of the most disturbing aspects related to the nexus of politics and finance today – the ongoing partisan divide over what caused the financial crisis a few years back.
The way the discussion gets framed tends to go like this: Did Fannie and Freddie cause the crisis? Although this is the wrong question, I’ll try to answer it anyway by highlighting the difference between the meaning of the words “a” and “the.”
Here goes. Fannie Mae was a cause of the financial crisis. So was Freddie Mac. U.S. government housing policies, which often encouraged people to take out loans they couldn’t repay to buy homes they couldn’t afford, were also a cause. None of these was “the” cause of the crisis, because there was no single cause.
…
Two people often cited as proponents of the notion that Fannie and Freddie caused the crisis are Peter Wallison and Edward Pinto. Both are fellows at the American Enterprise Institute, a Washington think tank. Wallison was a Republican member of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission who wrote a 98-page dissent to the panel’s final report in 2011.
Last month, in an article responding to a column by Joe Nocera of the New York Times, Wallison and Pinto framed their thesis this way: “Our argument is and has been that the financial crisis would not have occurred but for government housing policy implemented principally through Fannie and Freddie and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.”
It’s a debatable, if not a particularly useful, observation. One reason Wallison and Pinto have drawn so much criticism for their work is that they consistently dismiss every other possible cause of the crisis, so that only Fannie, Freddie and U.S. housing policies survive the scholars’ own “but for” test. Never mind interest rates held too low for too long, worthless regulators or banks with excessive leverage, for instance.
Even New York Mayor Bloomberg came down in the “the cause” camp a month or so ago when referring to the role the government played in the housing bubble. It’s simply amazing to me that so many people seem to insist on viewing this as a black-and-white issue – that either Washington or Wall Street are to blame, but not a combination of the two.



Two people often cited as proponents of the notion that Fannie and Freddie caused the crisis are Peter Wallison and Edward Pinto. Both are fellows at the American Enterprise Institute, a Washington think tank. Wallison was a Republican member of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission who wrote a 98-page dissent to the panel’s final report in 2011.





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IIRC, the big Wall Street banks were eating up subprime mortgages by the Security-full before Fannie and Freddie started accepting those mortgages. I even remember reading about a conversation our favorite orange man Mozilo had with the CEO of Fannie, where he basically said “if you won’t buy Countrywide mortgages then Wall Street will and you’ll be cut out of the profits”. Right around then the GSEs began taking the crappy mortgages, which threw a metric ton of gasoline on an already raging trillion-alarm fire.
I also don’t think the GSEs would accept second mortgages. I think the brokers would sell the first mortgage, which was 80% of the house cost, to the GSEs. The other 20% (what should have been the down payment) would be a second mortgage and would get sold to someone else (e.g. Wall Street). Thus, 0% down payment home loans were born.
Some folks also like to blame the CRA for “forcing the banks to make loans to risky borrowers” but the CRA foreclosure statistics show this for the lie that it is. You couldn’t get a jumbo mortgage from a CRA-based loan to finance a McMansion in Phoenix or Vegas.
I think you would also agree based on your blogs – which i havee been reading since 2004 or 2005- that the root cause will rest at Federal reserve. Of course, govt and wall street both played a role, but, federal reserve represents to some extent both. Most of the members are appointed by administration with confirmations by congress. Even member banks play a role (?) in appointment of regional governors.
And, if you do a root cause analysis, all arrows will eventually point to Fed Reserve because of their function as a regulator, and setting interest rates. Most of this caused moral hazard, excessive speculation, too big to fail, malinvestment, bubbles in stock market and housing, excess debt.