One of the many financial oddities in recent months, that is, ever since the European sovereign debt situation entered about its sixth crisis phase over the last two-and-a-half years, is that, now that the latest crisis appears to be over and investors’ mood has again switched from “risk off” to “risk on”, nobody’s selling their super safe Treasuries. The chart below from this Fidelity viewpoints item provides another example of how the historical relationship between U.S. debt and everything else has broken down lately.

Some say the bond market knows something that other markets don’t about the true health of the economy and credit markets while others blame the Fed for making the U.S. bond market dysfunctional with its huge asset purchases in recent years and its “Operation Twist” program of selling short-term debt to buy long dated securities. One thing is certain – the recent stability in long-term Treasuries at near record low yields won’t last forever.







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