REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

In an oftentimes contentious interview, Kelly Evans of the Wall Street Journal talks to New York real estate mogul and reality TV star Donald Trump about President Obama’s birth certificate, bankruptcies, Libya, and running for president next year.

On Libya, when asked if he would have intervened as President Obama did, Trump provided the following response that was refreshingly honest for an aspiring politician:

I’ll tell you what. I’m only interested in Libya if we take the oil. If we don’t take the oil, I have no interest in Libya.

He also said that, as long as we’re in Iraq, we should take their oil too.

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Five Dollar Gasoline in California

Geez, it’s only mid-April and they’re already paying $5 a gallon for premium in parts of California. While CNBC correspondent Jane Wells appears almost giddy when pointing out these high prices, host Maria Bartiromo emotes real anguish, a combination that, unfortunately, we could see again and again in the months ahead.

The national map at Gasbuddy shows that the average price for regular unleaded in the Golden State is now over $4.10 a gallon – visitors are advised to fill up that rental car before getting within a mile of the airport in order to five or ten dollars.

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Unstoppable Silver?

It looks like the silver price just won’t be stopped, earlier today surging by more than a dollar and breaching the $42 an ounce mark to “a fresh 31-year high”, a phrase that may finally be replaced with simply “a record high” in another week or two based on the 1980 high for the silver price of about $48 an ounce and its current trajectory.

As this is written, it stands almost alone in the commodities sector with gains for the day. I can’t help but share the thoughts of Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie who, last week, commented “There are good fundamental reasons supporting silver. What is difficult to know is the balance between those, and a normal investment flow, and an investment flow that is driven by the price”.

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Well, truth be told, Fed Chief Ben Bernanke is now so far behind the inflation curve that he’ll have to ask directions to find it, a point that became clear to me when I updated the model portfolio at Iacono Research for the next installment of the newsletter this weekend – it’s now up 8.1 percent for the year and that includes a pretty big cash position.

This chart of the day at Bloomberg tells part of the story that should get more  interesting as we get closer to “The Bernank’s” inaugural post-FOMC press conference later this month.

We now live in a part of the country (Montana) that, fortunately, has some of the lowest gas prices in the nation, but it still seems like inflation is quickly spiraling out of control (thank God – a new set of Costco coupons arrived in the mail today). I can’t imagine what it’s like to be unemployed in, say, California where, you have to pay $4+ a gallon for gas to go look for work when you know the odds are stacked against you.

Anyone wondering whether financial markets in the year 2011 are going to “rhyme” with either 2010 (when inflation was quiet and a mid-year market downturn was resuscitated by the Fed) or 2008 (when soaring energy prices played a major role in the tumult that followed) might want to review what oil prices looked like at this juncture three years ago versus today, courtesy of these charts cobbled together from INO.com.

There is a stunning resemblance in the eight months worth of price data for the May WTI crude oil contract for these two years. The scales are virtually the same and the only real difference is in the price history prior to August of the year before as reflected in the 200 day moving average. This might be something worth keeping an eye on…

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The Gold Bubble that Just Won’t Pop

The gold price reached a new all-time high today at $1,457 an ounce and most investors are probably just shaking their heads at the craziness of it all – who in their right mind would pay almost $1,500 for a dumb ‘ol one ounce gold coin? Of course, they were shaking their heads at $1,200 an ounce, $1,000 an ounce, $725 an ounce, $500 an ounce, and so on, calling it a bubble ever since the price started rising about ten years ago when you could have bought the metal for about $300 an ounce. That’s one tough gold bubble…

In Frank Holmes latest commentary over at U.S. Global Investors, he explains some of the reasons why the current gold bubble just doesn’t seem ready, willing, or able to pop, the chart below offered up as evidence that, in a world full of increasingly suspect paper money and paper assets where more investors are looking for something other than dodgy paper, the yellow metal remains under-owned.

Citing a recent presentation by Eric Sprott of Sprott Asset Management, Holmes notes that new investment in gold over the last ten years totaled about $250 billion versus almost $100 trillion that went into other financial assets over that same time. That’s not to say that, as a percent of all assets, it will ever get back to the levels seen prior to 1990, but, based on everything that’s been happening in the world lately, it’s certainly headed in that direction.

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