Following are excerpts from the current issue of the Weekend Update at Iacono Research.]
It was another week of record highs for precious metals, but developments late in the week set the tone for a very uncertain period ahead, metal prices seeing some of their sharpest daily declines in months after new margin trading requirements were imposed for silver and rising inflation in China spurred new fears of tighter monetary policy.
More talk about the relationship between gold and paper money came from World Bank chief Robert Zoellick and more coverage of precious metals came from the mainstream media in the form of a front page New York Times story just after the gold price surged to over $1,400 an ounce, all of this followed later in the week by a plunge of almost $50.
For the week, the gold price fell 1.7 percent, from $1.392.90 an ounce to $1,368.80, while the silver price dropped 2.6 percent, from $26.75 an ounce to $26.04. For the year, both metals continue to carry impressive gains, the gold price now up 24.8 percent while silver has risen 54.3 percent, trailing only the gains made by cotton and palladium.
The most recent run-up in the gold price is again shown in the updated graphic below alongside both the 2005-2006 and 2007-2008 moves. It is important to note that this now-lengthy 2009-2010 jaunt just last week surpassed the one seen just two years ago with a rise of 38 percent versus 36 percent.
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