REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

The Many Perceptions of Ben Bernanke

I don’t know a thing about Silver Circle or the Silver Circle Movie (coming soon to theaters), but, after stumbling upon this cartoon today, it just seemed too good not to share.

What Ben Bernanke Does

Sadly, that last one in the lower right is probably going to turn out to be spot on, though it may take more than a few years to come to fruition.

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Prompted by last week’s trial balloon about “sterilized bond purchases”, I went looking for that clip from a few years ago when Fed Chief Ben Bernanke told Congress during the early stages of the financial crisis that central bank’s asset purchases would be “sterilized” (as if Congressman understood what that meant). I never did find that clip, but, I did find this:

The post title is a paraphrasing of words of wisdom from Caddy Shack’s Carl Spackler:

So I jump ship in Hong Kong and make my way to Tibet, and I get on as a looper at a course over in the Himalayas. You know, a caddy, a looper, a jock. So, I tell them I’m a pro jock, and who do they give me? The Dalai Lama, himself. Twelfth son of the Lama. The flowing robes, the grace, bald… striking. So, I’m on the first tee with him. I give him the driver. He hauls off and whacks one — big hitter, the Lama – long, into a ten-thousand foot crevice, right at the base of this glacier. And do you know what the Lama says? Gunga galunga…gunga – gunga galunga. So we finish the eighteenth and he’s gonna stiff me. And I say, “Hey, Lama, hey, how about a little something, you know, for the effort, you know.” And he says, “Oh, uh, there won’t be any money, but when you die, on your deathbed, you will receive total consciousness.” So I got that goin’ for me, which is nice.

I wonder what that was that Austan Goolsbee muttered to himself there…

Jim Grant on Fed Money Printing

Jim Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer talks to Maria Bartiromo and Kelly Evans of CNBC about yesterday’s announcement that the Federal Reserve is considering “sterilized” asset purchases, what now appears to be the leading candidate for the Fed’s next round of “quantitative easing”, otherwise known as money printing.

While the quip “Capitalism is an alternative for what we have now – I highly recommend it” has been highly cited, his comments about the 1920-1921 recession were also of interest as that appears to have been the last time that an economic slowdown has been left to run its own course without massive intervention by the government and central bank.

Here’s a compilation of yesterday’s two exchanges between Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke at the semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. The first portion deals with the recent history of paper money and our growing “pyramid of debt” that – surprise! – Paul thinks will end badly, while the second part is a discussion of inflation.

Granted, it’s an extremely difficult job to discuss the failings of monetary policy at the central bank and Paul has done more in this regard than anyone else in modern history, however, it sure would be nice to have someone speak more eloquently at high profile hearings such as this. Maybe Jim Grant will run for public office someday.

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Quantitative Easing Revisited

This follow-up to the wildly popular original YouTube hit Quantitative Easing Explained covers such subjects as how quality improvements in the iPad 2 keep inflation low and how Fed money printing rewards the wealthy while punishing the poor.

Though its popularity pales in comparison to its predecessor (about 5 thousand views vs. 5 million views), it’s still worth a look if for no other reason than this quip:

I have figured out the formula for predicting the Fed’s actions. First, you take a past policy that has been a complete bust. Then you double the size and do it twice as long.

Paper Money, Economists, and Hubris

I don’t recall how this WSJ op-ed came to my attention again the other day, but, since it did, it seemed worth sharing the paragraphs below. Originally appearing on August 15th last year – on the 40-year anniversary of Nixon closing the gold window – it reminds us of what a swell job economists continue to do for us non-economists in the world.

Most of today’s macroeconomists see surprisingly little wrong with the present system of fully elastic money. This is surprising for two reasons: First, there is the universally dismal historical record of paper money systems. Second, paper money systems are inherently incompatible with capitalism. In a state paper money system, the banking system is de-facto cartelized and the banks’ funding conditions and certain interest rates are determined administratively by a state agency—the central bank. The constant expansion of bank reserves constitutes an ongoing subsidy to the banks, which encourages further money creation through fractional-reserve banking. Credit growth in such an economy is no longer driven by the extent of saving in the economy but the result of central bank policy and the banks’ willingness to expand their balance sheets.

The belief among mainstream economists and central bankers today is obviously that they fully understand and can correctly anticipate the consequences of their monetary manipulations. The effects of money injections appear to them to be simply stronger growth and higher inflation, both neatly captured by the set of macro-statistics that modern economists follow so slavishly. All that central banks have to do, then, is target the right balance between the two. A display of such intellectual hubris was given by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke when he explained the Fed’s policy of quantitative easing to the U.S. public in an op-ed last November. Extolling the advantages of artificially depressed interest rates and propped up asset prices courtesy of the Fed, Bernanke promised that, “lower mortgage rates will make housing more affordable and allow more homeowners to refinance. Lower corporate bond rates will encourage investment. And higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and help increase confidence, which can also spur spending. Increased spending will lead to higher incomes and profits that, in a virtuous circle, will further support economic expansion.”

This brings to mind the ongoing brouhaha between econo-bloggers and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard who, over the last week, has been taken to task for saying a lot of things that most non-economists would view as simple common sense, for example, that the housing bubble created a lot of artificial demand in the economy in the last decade and attempting to restore aggregate demand to that level through money printing is dangerous.

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