How They Do Things in Helena

Montana’s Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer offers up this New York Tims op-ed in the hope that elected officials in Washington might follow the state’s lead in pinching pennies, or, in the case of the nation’s capital, pinching billions.

Cutting Costs the Montana Way

WITH the debt crisis and the weakening economy fresh on their minds, most Americans have probably concluded that government, as a rule, cannot manage money responsibly. But it can. Just look at Montana.

For six years it has been one of the only states in America with a budget surplus: this year it is a record $433 million, proportionally equivalent to a federal surplus of $858 billion. Thus we’ve been able to cut taxes, invest in education and infrastructure and keep essential services intact. We recently got our first bond rating upgrade in 26 years.

And we’re not simply riding the Western energy boom. The recession has driven unemployment to 7.5 percent, and while we’ve had a great run with oil, coal and gas, royalties from these commodities account for only 9 percent of our budget surplus.

How do we accomplish what the federal government cannot? I like to say we run government like a ranch. In ranching – my old job – you either pinch pennies or go belly-up. We do the same in government. Perhaps Washington can try it.

For one thing, we challenge every expense. If it isn’t absolutely necessary, we eliminate it. When the recession came we found $80 million in savings, which helped us avert a budget crisis. Little things added up: we renegotiated state contracts, cut our energy consumption by 20 percent, auctioned off state vehicles and canceled building projects and computer upgrades.

I don’t know how other state legislatures work, but, I was quite surprised to learn that, here in Montana, these elected officials meet for only 90 days every two years – in the most recent case, from January to March this year after the 2010 elections.

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I’ve about had it with the inane theory that the lack of aggregate demand is the primary reason why we are now mired in the worst economic slump since the Great Depression. The latest bit of idiocy on the subject was offered up by Reagan/Bush policy adviser Bruce Bartlett in a New York Times commentary today that, when laid side-by-side with some of Paul Krugman’s writing on the subject (see here, here, here) is truly disturbing because, this “lack of aggregate demand” theory courses through all policymaking debate, on both the left and on the right, in Washington and New York.

The theory posits that it is not important what level of overall demand an economy has reached or how it got there, but that, when all the wheels fall off the wagon as they did back in 2008, the imperative is for the government to somehow restore that level of demand.

Otherwise, you get another Great Depression.

It makes no difference if, back in 2005, people making $40,000 a year were buying no money down $500,000 homes and then, after the home’s value went up to $600,000 in 2006, pulling out their $100,000 in brand new home equity to put in a pool, buy a motor home, and install big screen TVs in every room of the house because, once you reach a certain level of demand and it begins to drop like a rock because everyone has become indebted up to their eyeballs, it must be restored.

At that point, it simply becomes a question of how much taxes must be cut or how much money must be borrowed or printed to accomplish that goal.

Whether that level of demand was reasonable never seems to come up and the idea that we’ve come to the end of a 30-year debt binge in all areas of public and private finances – where the accumulated debt can no longer be easily serviced, let alone taking on new debt to fuel more consumption – gets only passing notice.

There are lots more examples of this here, here, here , here, here, here, and here, this unfortunately being another example of how conventional wisdom is often wrong.

The Third Time May Not be the Charm

Other events have overshadowed the latest developments in the nation’s debt ceiling saga, but that’s probably a good thing since we appear to be gearing up for another few months of tortured debate on how to reduce the budget deficit and we all needed a little break.

From the Bob Rogers archive at the Pittsburgh Gazette.

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Debt Champions

Here’s an interesting graphic from a Spiegel story the other day that asked if the world is going bankrupt. They didn’t really answer the question in their lengthy account of the world’s economic and financial market woes, but you kind of know what they were thinking.

The only good news here is that total debt above is only about two-thirds of world GDP. Paraphrasing Caddy Shack caddy Carl Spackler, “So we got that goin’ for us, which is nice”.

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Downgrades, Stocks, Googling Greenspan

Geez… We go away for a couple hours to do some shopping – our little part in support of our consumer economy in these trying times – and the Dow ends up with a 600+ point loss!

It’s safe to say that financial markets aren’t taking the U.S. credit downgrade very well, apparently not realizing that America can just print its way out of its debt troubles. Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said as much on Meet the Press yesterday (details here), but, instead of embedding the video below, Googling Greenspan seemed more appropriate.

I haven’t done this in quite some time and was a bit surprised to see the old blog up there with two entries near the top of the list. It’s not clear if Google tailors searches based on what it knows about your computer, so, I’d be interested to hear of readers’ search results using the link above that contains just the basic search info.

Christina Romer Sums It Up

Appearing on Real Time with Bill Maher on Friday, shortly after the announcement that Standard & Poor’s had downgraded the U.S. credit rating, Christina Romer, former chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, reflected on our current condition.

I suppose this would just be funny rather than both funny and disturbing had Romer not uttered the line with a giggle in her belly and a twinkle in her eye. As it was, viewers were left with the impression that: a) she’s quite happy to be thousands of miles away from Washington, and b) we really are ‘Pretty Darn F**ked’.

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