REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

A “Sustainable Path for Greece”?

The Greek sovereign debt crisis, now rapidly approaching its two-year anniversary later this year, has resulted in a second major bailout of about $160 billion for the wayward eurozone nation as described by European Union leaders late yesterday.

Based on the details of the deal provided in this Reuters report, it’s a rather complicated agreement that may or may not result in credit agencies declaring Greece to be in some form of default on its debt. Fitch ratings said they expect to assign a new “post-default” rating of “low speculative-grade” to their bonds, if and when all the dust settles.

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They’re talking about “enhancing the flexibility and the scope” of the European Financial Stability Facility (their massive bailout fund) in the wake of soaring interest rates for Italian debt and the realization that contagion is now more than just a risk.

It’s hard to say what, if any, impact these developments will have on the debt ceiling/budget deficit debate in the U.S. No doubt, some elected officials are saying, “That could soon be us”, while others are looking at the safe haven bit that is pushing bond prices higher and U.S. interest rates sharply lower, quipping, “Look at how low our interest rates are – investors love U.S. debt”. As the Italians now know, love doesn’t always last.

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I don’t know what the figures are for school teachers in the U.S. (though, I’d bet that they’re not too much different in many states), but recently calculated equivalent “pension pots” for public sector employees in the U.K. show just how big a gap there is in the retirement prospects between the public and private sector. This Telegraph story provides all the stunning details that, for private sector workers, might be difficult to read.

Unions representing the 750,000 employees involved in the strike say their members are being unfairly treated. But Treasury figures released today expose how public sector retirement funds dwarf their private sector counterparts.

The calculations show that a mid-ranking teacher on £32,000 a year will receive a final salary pension that is the equivalent of having built up a £500,000 pension pot.

This is 20 times higher than the average private sector scheme, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics. Private sector workers would have to save more than 20 per cent of their salaries for 40 years – more than £500 a month for a similarly paid person — to amass the same amount in a defined contribution pension.

A well-paid London headmaster will retire with a pension scheme worth £1.5  million, the Treasury figures show. A chief constable retiring at the standard age of 55 would have a scheme worth more than £3 million.

My guess is that California’s public retirement system (that now includes 9,111 members in the not-so-exclusive $100K Club) would put the British pensioners to shame.

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There They Go Again…

This security camera footage (apparently) seems to capture the mood of the crowd in Syntagma Square in Athens today as protesters take to the street in a 48-hour strike while the Greek Parliament begins debate on the austerity measures that must be enacted in order to get more bailout money from their EU/ECB/IMF overlords.

Based on the links posted a short while ago, it’s not clear if there is or is not a Plan B should the Greek government reject these measures. To wit:

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Greece Under “Economic Occupation”

Greek Week continues as the government survived a confidence vote and now moves on to what could be a more difficult task – approving more austerity measures before their EU/ECB/IMF overlords release more bailout money.

Efi Koloverou, a 22-year-old student protesting in Athens quoted in this BBC report, probably put it best when he said, “I believe we should go bankrupt and get it over with. These measures are slowly killing us. We want competent people to take over”.

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Livin’ Ain’t Easy in the U.K.

A report in the U.K.’s Telegraph today describes what it’s like in the world’s other fading Anglo-Saxon empire, this empire in a much more advanced stage of decay than ours where the effects of a late stage financial economy have now all but vanished, leaving the citizenry to rack up more credit card debt just to put food on the table and heat the house.

Britons’ finances have suffered their steepest decline since the recession in June as people loaded up with more debt to finance the rising cost of living, according to the monthly household finance index from Markit.

Six times as many households (36pc) saw their financial position worsen from May, compared to those who saw an improvement (6pc), the leading monthly survey from the financial information firm showed. Data was collected between June 8 and 14.

People’s finances deteriorated as they delved into their savings and took on more debt to cope with increasing prices and falling incomes. That helped the index’s headline measure drop to 35.1, the lowest level since March 2009, when the UK was still mired in recession.

The findings support predictions from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the independent fiscal watchdog, that households will borrow more to maintain their living standards – £500bn more within four years, or £20,000 per family.

Inflation, currently more than double the target, at 4.5pc, means prices are rising much faster than people’s wages, resulting in “real” cuts which leave families squeezed. By 2015, debt as a proportion of income will have jumped by 15 percentage points to 175pc, passing even 2007’s record 173pc level, the OBR predicts.

This is what some are now calling the “New Road to Serfdom” (that is, so long as the banks don’t cut these people off), a condition that is already showing up here in the U.S. and one that will likely get much, much worse in the years ahead.

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