REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Americans Gorge on Credit Card Offers

It would appear that the Federal Reserve’s guarantee of freakishly low interest rates until at least 2013 (soon to be extended into 2014 or beyond) and the resulting push by credit card companies to clog mail boxes with all sorts or tempting offers had the desired effect on Americans as they racked up new credit card debt in November at a rate not seen since before the wheels fell of the global financial system back in early-2008.

The data for December might be even more impressive since, what U.S. citizen in their right mind wouldn’t borrow a thousand dollars or two to get that big flat screen TV and new sound system at Christmas time if they could do so without incurring any interest charges and making only minimal payments for the next year or two.

While some say this indicates renewed confidence in the U.S. economy – one where 70 percent of all activity is based on consumer spending -  others think this is akin to a drunk “falling of the wagon” after almost three years of sobriety.

Tagged with:  






Ron Paul Continues to Confound

Not having watched much of the back-to-back debates for the GOP presidential nomination over the weekend, it’s just a guess (but a pretty safe one) that Rep Ron Paul (R-TX) continued to be a great source of cognitive dissonance for anyone watching. For those finding a way to avoid completely dismissing his views out of hand, this story at Mother Jones provides a handy  Venn Diagram that can be used to sort things out.

This related item at lewrockwell.com indicates some of the nation’s brightest business minds aren’t that confused about Paul, CNN’s Erin Burnett recently noting an “astounding number of top business leaders were OK with the idea of a Ron Paul presidency”. Pimco’s Bill Gross was the only name mentioned, though, I’d love to hear who the others are.

North Americans On the Move

Atlas Van Lines provides this summary (hat tip to the WSJ economics blog) of where Americans moved last year (well, at least the ones who used their moving services) and it should come as no surprise that places like North Dakota and Texas saw big inflows.

The “rust belt” continues to see an exodus as do high tax states like New Jersey and New York, a reminder that people “voting with their feet” hasn’t gone out of style. Anyone have any idea what the attraction is for the mid-Atlantic states of Virginia, North Carolina, etc.? Those are some pretty large inflows.

Tagged with:  

Psychoanalyzing the Gold Owner

David Tuckett, a professor at the University College London and a former president of the European Psychoanalytic Federation talks about what makes people buy and sell gold, via this story at the Wall Street Journal.

As far as I could tell, the comment below does not appear in the video above. Nevertheless, it was seen as a fitting conclusion to the WSJ piece:

“It is all about what stories are believed today, and today, while it belies any sort of commonsense that gold is worth twice as much as it was two years ago, this is what people are believing in.”

Why does this defy common sense? Credit markets around the world are a complete mess in the aftermath of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and the only solution policymakers can come up with is to print trillions more dollars of paper money.

I’m not sure what’s more fascinating to watch – the 11-year old gold bull market that has seen the price more than quintuple or the reaction to it by the mainstream media.

‘Ol Greenie in the News Again

Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan was in the news again this morning writing in the Financial Times about how a more austere future awaits America. This item at CNBC appears to have a good summary of the key points (the old trick of Googling the article’s title to access the FT subscriber section doesn’t seem to be working anymore).

In an opinion piece for the Financial Times, Greenspan argued that the political landscape in the United States was more divided than ever, resulting in political paralysis as the Tea Party’s influence had created “an effective veto of new legislation before the current heavily Republican House of Representatives”.

The failure last year of the Super Committee — a congressional committee tasked with finding spending cuts to reduce the United States’ ballooning budget deficit — to reach a deal underscores this shift in U.S. politics, Greenspan said.

“A political tsunami has emerged out of our past in the form of the Tea Party, with its ethos reminiscent of rugged individualism and self-reliance,” Greenspan wrote.

The Tea Party “has so altered the distribution of votes within Republican Party’s House caucus that the party’s center has moved closer to the Tea Party,” he added.

And with an ideological battle raging over the future of the welfare state, “Congress, having enacted increases in entitlements without visible means of funding them, is on the brink of stalemate,” Greenspan wrote.

The only viable long-term solution appears to be “a shift in federal entitlements programs to defined contribution status” — programs that require employees to make a set contribution to their pensions, Greenspan said.

Defined contribution retirement programs have worked so well for the rest of America (that is, until stocks stopped rising a decade ago), it’s only fitting recipients of government benefits have the pleasure of fretting over their future too.

By the way, I’ll try to get in as much Greenspan related material as possible over the next month or so since a new combined blog/investment website will be launching sometime in February sans the TMTGM moniker. (Yes, it’s time…)

Not Understanding Krugman on Debt

It is not entirely clear which is more entertaining this morning – re-reading Paul Krugman’s “Nobody Understands Debt” commentary from yesterday’s New York Times, in which he ignores the flight to safety from the eurozone over the last half of 2011 while arguing that low Treasury yields are a vote of confidence in the dual U.S. policies of record deficit spending and record money printing (the latter also helping to push bond prices up and yields down) … or the many retorts to his recent offering:

I’ve not read through all of these yet and my guess is the third item on the list above might express agreement with Krugman, though the fourth one probably does not.

There are no doubt lots more where these came from and, to be fair, there are probably an equal number of positive reactions as there are negative ones (just have a look at some of the comments on the original commentary). I suppose we’ll be hearing a lot more about the nation’s debt as the election season heats up…

Page 5 of 61« First...34567102030...Last »
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made