REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Investors Hope Fed Props Up the Economy

Over a bowl of cereal just a few minutes ago, this Associated Press story reprinted in the local newspaper was happened upon and I couldn’t help but think of the sorry state the stock market has come to, what with retail investors shunning equities like the plague and trading now dominated by super fast computers in the little understood world of high frequency trading along with shell-shocked hedge funds and pensions funds that, according to a Wall Street Journal report over the weekend, are still assuming that they can get an eight percent annual return and retirees depending on that happening.

Is that what it’s come to? After freakishly low interest rates and a trillion and a half dollars of money printing by the central bank and after the Federal government intervened in ways never thought possible before to prop up the banking sector, the auto sector, and nearly the entire housing market, it’s now up to the Federal Reserve to deliver more money printing so that the economy and, by extension, the stock market can be similarly propped up?

You have to wonder what someone waking up today from a 15-year coma would think about our current condition, one  that, increasingly seems to be accepted as the status quo, the casual reference in the AP story above being the latest example.

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Nasdaq Stocks, Housing, Gold…

The chart below was just stumbled upon after looking through some material from a year or two ago regarding all-time highs for gold and multi-decade highs for silver while preparing the current issue of the investment newsletter at Iacono Research.

This should serve as a reminder that, lest anyone forget, you don’t get a really good bubble going until the Fed starts raising interest rates, recent all-time highs of $1,280+ an ounce for gold and $21 an ounce for silver likely to be looked back upon much in the way that we remember Nasdaq stocks in 1998 and California home prices in 2004.

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A pretty stunning chart on the historic disconnect between stock mutual fund flows and stock market returns comes from the Investment Company Institute via this item at Zero Hedge a short time ago. Apparently, you don’t need your typical 401K stock mutual fund investor anymore for stocks to keep going up.

Click to enlarge

Yes, that area shaded in pink on the far right is the region that everyone has been talking about lately and the recent reversal in fund flows might mean that, for once, retail investors are ahead of the curve (literally), rather than behind it.

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Beige Book Fails to Slow Stock Rebound

The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book sprinkled a little cold water on the stock market rebound yesterday, but not nearly enough to keep buyers from bidding prices higher, a move that looks likely to continue today with the better than expected report on jobless claims.

New claims for unemployment insurance fell by 27,000, from an upwardly revised 478,000 to just 451,000. Who would have ever thought that stock investors would be cheering a number like this more than a year after the recession ended?

Fresh economic data has been few and far between this week, but next week will see the pace pick up sharply as a bevy of manufacturing reports will be released along with a look at how the consumer is faring via August retail sales and consumer sentiment.

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We’ve been hearing a lot about the troubles of 104-year old copper heiress Huguette Clark because the Clark fortune was made in these parts and the local news outlets  never seem to tire of retelling the rich history of mining in Southwest Montana. Now, the story seems to be going global, the Telegraph filing this report and another account coming from down under.

A LAWSUIT accuses Citibank of costing a 104-year-old heiress’ trust fund up to $US80 million ($87 million) by failing to invest its money properly, the New York Post reported overnight.

More than 70 years after a $US3 million fund was established for reclusive Manhattan copper heiress Huguette Clark “the trust’s value was still only $US3 million” because it was never invested in stocks and bonds as it should have been for at least part of that time, claim explosive documents filed by two former Citibank trust officers.

The two former trust officers are soon set to meet with the DA’s office, which is probing possible mismanagement of Ms Clark’s $US500 million fortune by her lawyer, Wallace Bock, and accountant, Irving Kamsler.

Ms Clark’s trust fund was set up by the heiress’s mother, Anna, in 1926, the year after Ms Clark’s father, US Senator William Clark, died. The eccentric heiress spent her life obsessively collecting dolls and shunning visitors, marrying once – briefly – and having no children. She has lived for the past two decades in Manhattan hospitals.

Her story only came to light recently after the media reported that Mr Bock kept her few, distant relatives from visiting her and had not objected to a convicted sex offender, Mr Kamsler, serving as her accountant.

This MSNBC story was apparently what prompted this latest round of news coverage. Whether the charges have any merit or not remains to be seen – it’s just kind of nice to know that somebody is suing Citibank for something.

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Young Investors Wise Up, Shun Stocks

Another interesting chart from the folks at CNN/Money shows in graphic detail the changing views about stock ownership by age group, the accompanying report noting how the Generation Y crowd is currently being hit with a double whammy – a recent history of market crashes and a job market that is much worse than for older workers.

What’s amazing about this data is the 35-49 age group where decades of conditioning that your best bet is “stocks for the long run” appears to have produced a nearly unshakable belief system. Even after ten years of dismal returns for equities (with the notable exception of gold stocks), Wall Street and the financial media should give themselves a pat on the back for being so successful in their efforts to convince the public that stocks are still a good bet despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

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