Wednesday Morning Links

MUST READS
Cyprus agrees to ‘challenging’ plan – BBC
Growing ECB rate cut bets risk falling flat – Reuters
Putin Decree Targets Elite’s Foreign Assets – Financial Times
British taxpayers to fork out €45m to rescue Cyprus – Telegraph
Life after the Fall: The Aftermath of the Cypriot Banking Collapse – Spiegel
White House pushes banks to lend to people with weak credit – Washington Post
Stockton Ruling Makes Public Employees a Protected Class – Bloomberg
Stockton and San Bernardino, a Tale of Two Bankruptcies – Reuters
Goldman Sachs and the Next New Thing on Wall Street – CNBC
Chained CPI a gimmick we’ll all pay for – USA Today
A Man in the Mirror – Gross, Pimco
The Bitcoin Boom – The New Yorker

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil falls as supplies expected to increase – AP
Gold prices extend slide as haven appeal dissipates – Reuters
Stockman: There are Bubbles All Over, Hide in Cash – Daily Ticker
Dow, S&P500 set record highs after pullback – xinhuanet
Weakness lurks below market surface – MarketWatch
When A Great Deflationary Bear Starts Turning Inflationary – Zero Hedge
Corn Joins Crop Bear Market on Slow Demand, More Planting – Bloomberg
Silver Futures Trade Near 8-Month Low in Bear Market – Bloomberg
2013 U.S. silver bullion coin sales may shatter records if trend holds – Mineweb
Case for Gold ‘more solid than ever’ as ‘profit takers’ exit – BullionStreet
‘Gold Only Rises During the Bad Times’ and other Fairy Tales – Money Morning
Gold going nowhere – Yahoo! Finance

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
U.S. Economic Confidence Slips in March – Gallup
Apartment vacancy rate falls to lowest level since 2001 – Reuters
Algorithms Play Matchmaker to Fight 7.7% U.S. Unemployment – Bloomberg
Detroit’s ‘Big Three’ Post Best Monthly Auto Sales in Five Years – Fox News
Record High: European Jobless Rates Show North-South Rift – Spiegel
Italian President Trying To Avert A Crisis Of Systemic Proportions – Forbes
Property curbs make their mark in Shanghai – China Daily
Three Myths About Housing Market Rebound – WSJ
Investors cooling on housing market – CBS News
Are investors creating a new houing bubble? – Washington Times
Fed’s Kocherlakota repeats call for more policy easing – Reuters
A Debate in the Open on the Fed – NY Times

 






Grant Williams on Risk

I’d heard about this presentation by Grant Williams at the Mines & Money investment conference in Hong Kong and it’s now available online.

I suppose the short version of this story is that traditional price signals have been thoroughly corrupted by central bank policies and we are once again in uncharted territory that comes with unknown risk, a condition that some mistake for new found prosperity.

After news crews outnumbered customers in some ATM lines last week when banks in Cyprus opened back up following a bailout deal with European Union officials, the mainstream financial media appears to have quickly lost interest in this story.

They shouldn’t.

This continues to be one of the more important developments in the long-running global financial crisis and it’s likely to spur a good deal of new interest in gold. Not immediately, but, over time, there is sure to be a “slow motion bank run” by wealthy investors in many parts of the world and some portion of that money will be used to buy gold.

It’s no surprise that there was little commotion when banks in Cyprus reopened last Thursday. Why? Because insured accounts (less than 100,000 euros) were left untouched in the bailout deal and capital controls limited cash withdrawals to 300 euros for individuals and to 5,000 euros for businesses. Large accounts, where up to 60 percent of deposits could be seized, were frozen.

In order to have a run on any bank, depositors must be able to withdraw their money – all of it if they desire – and that simply hasn’t been possible in recent days.

Word came on Monday that 37.5 percent of deposits exceeding 100,000 euros have already been seized to recapitalize the Bank of Cyprus, the nation’s biggest lender, with another 22.5 percent to remain blocked until the recapitalization plan is finalized. The 40 percent of large accounts that is left over could be unfrozen as soon as today, but even this won’t result in a bank run due to capital controls.

[To continue reading this article, please visit Seeking Alpha.]

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David Stockman, the former Office of Management and Budget director under President Ronald Reagan, is getting a lot of attention for his Sunday NY Times op-ed and his new book – The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America.

Here he sits down with Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu to share some thoughts.

There’s been lots of blow-back on this from both the left and the right. One thing seems quite certain – none of it is hurting his book sales.

Tuesday Morning Links

MUST READS
A fiscal warning from two former budget chiefs – Reuters
Regulators Let Big Banks Look Safer Than They Are – WSJ($)
Unemployment in the euro zone hits a record high – CNN/Money
Cyprus concludes bailout talks, aid to flow in May – Reuters
Bomb from Brussels: Cyprus Model May Guide Future Bank Bailouts – Spiegel
El-Erian: Unfortunately, the Cyprus Crisis Is Not Yet Over – CNBC
State-Wrecked: The Corruption of Capitalism in America – Stockman, NY Times
Stockman Sundown Belied by Stocks Showing Morning for Investors – Bloomberg
Judge rules Stockton, Calif., to enter bankruptcy – AP
How Bitcoin could destroy the state – The Spectator
When Interest Rates Rise – Feldstein, Project Syndicate
Speaking Up for Deformity – aucontrarian
Print Money. Mail Everybody a Check. – Slate

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil steady after US manufacturing growth slows – AP
Gold holds near $1,600 as euro zone data lifts stocks – Reuters
Oil Bulls Shrug Off Poor Data Ahead of Payrolls – CNBC
Peak Oil Cult Is Proved Spectacularly Wrong – Investors.com
The only 4 strategies to use in the next crash – MarketWatch
Raw-Material Bull Market Fading as Supply Expands – Bloomberg
Don’t Worry, Be Bullish – Forsyth, Barron’s
Gold price to fall 15% this year: SocGen – Emerging Markets
India unlikely to hike gold duty again: Chidambaram – Reuters
Why Investors Have Lost Interest in Gold – Minyanville

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
An unusual good news inflation story – Economist
Olivier Blanchard’s Five Lessons for Economists From the Financial Crisis – WSJ
Complete confusion over the trajectory of the US manufacturing sector – Sober Look
Gerhard Schröder: ‘Germany Can Only Lead Europe the Way Porcupines Mate’ – Spiegel
Abe Says BOJ May Miss Price Target If Global Economy Changes – Bloomberg
Underwater: The Netherlands Falls Prey to Economic Crisis – Spiegel
Will Japan’s Central Bank Deliver or Disappoint? – CNBC
Fewer underwater homeowners at regional, national level – Washington Post
Bubble-era home-equity strategies are back – MarketWatch
Housing bubble 2.0: Is it different this time? – O.C. Housing News
So Much For The Stability Of The Centrally-Banked “Fiat” Era – Zero Hedge
Go For Gold – Johnson, Baseline Scenario

 

Back to the Future!

I watched that trilogy not long ago. It’s funny what they thought it would be like around this time – they overshot on transportation but underestimated the advances in cell phones…

Anyway, you may have been directed here from the Iacono Research website that is now back to being just an investment website after a nice makeover (as shown below) from its last appearance as such. All daily musings about what’s right and what’s wrong in the world will again be appearing at this blog and just the subscription service will be available there.

I guess this really is a case of back to the future because, as shown above, this wasn’t supposed to happen until tomorrow (I don’t know why they say it will take 12 to 24 hours for DNS changes to propagate through the system – it was almost instantaneous for me).

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