REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

In writing this week’s issue of the Weekend Update for the investment site  Iacono Research (BTW – a brand new combined blog/investment website is coming next month), I got to thinking again about how good Ben Bernanke has been for the gold price over the years and, in the process, found this item at the old blog that carried the following chart.

The funniest thing about it are the prices – only three digits with a lower scale of $280!

I’ve long referred to the Fed Chief as “Golden Ben Bernanke” and, after last week’s FOMC meeting and what it did for the gold price, it looks he’ll cement that reputation this year.

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The Best of the Bozeman Police Reports

Culled from the Police Reports page of the Bozeman Daily Chronicle come the best of the Bozeman police reports from the last week along with some items from the Sheriff’s Office. Note that a new book featuring the very best of these police reports is now available from the Chronicle for only $10 – just click on the banner below to find out how to order.

After some promising weeks of police reports in the New Year, it’s another disappointing batch below as the warm weather and lack of snow seem to have compelled many people to either drink even more than usual or just give up all together and stay home. There were a couple reports of the intoxicated stumbling into places they shouldn’t be in the wee hours, something that normally occurs during the summer, and that first highlighted item about satellites is a real doozy, but, overall, it’s been kind of dull for law enforcement.

  • Someone was heard through the walls of a South 15th Avenue residence yelling “there is not enough marijuana.”
  • An upset woman claimed she would “shut down the Bozeman Police Department” if someone didn’t do something. She said there were satellites over her house and wanted a deputy to go over and “record what’s going on.”
  • A man playing with a gun accidentally shot himself in the right calf and left thigh.
  • A 49-year-old man told police he has had about nine to 10 beers in the past day and hasn’t showered for a month.
  • A deputy stopped a man seen driving in a ditch near the Logan Interchange around 1:30 a.m. The man wasn’t drunk but had been up for more than 30 hours and told the deputy he was planning to sleep in his car. The deputy told him that was a good idea.

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Ben Bernanke is the Next Arthur Burns

In yet another follow-up to yesterday’s Bernanke’s Disingenuous Message to Savers, it certainly looks like Fed Chief Ben Bernanke is the second coming of Arthur Burns when looking at real interest rates (i.e., the Fed Funds rate minus year-over-year inflation).

Note that the 2012-2014 period assumes the current 3.0 percent inflation rate and zero percent Fed Funds rate continue for three more years – it might move up a little, but not much. Also, that little red sliver in 1978-1979 represents G. William Miller’s tenure as Fed chief – it hardly seemed worth it to put his name up there.

A couple of items related to yesterday’s Bernanke’s Disingenuous Message to Savers come via this Reuters report that chronicles the difficulty older, fixed-income investors are having under Fed Chief Ben Bernanke’s policy of freakishly low interest rates and this item at The Aleph Blog that captures my sentiments fairly well.

Bernanke Does Not Understand Savings
Twice in his press conference yesterday, Bernanke showed that he was out of touch with average Americans. He argued that average people could keep up with a 2% increase in the price level by investing in stocks and (presumably short-term) bonds.

(Speaking to The Bernank)

I’m sorry, Ben, but ya gotsta come down from the uneducated ivory tower and wallow in the mud wit da restov us. There are three problems with what you said:

- It’s hard to earn 2% (after-tax) consistently when the Fed funds rate is zero.

- Only the top 20% of the wealthy have enough assets to keep themselves afloat using the asset markets. Most people would like to do something to protect themselves from inflation, but lack the means to do so.

- Average people do not invest, they save at financial intermediaries like banks, S&Ls, and life insurers. Fed policy kills rates for savers. They will not become investors, because they lack the knowledge to do so.

I am again sorry, Ben, because your policies discriminate against the poor, and the lower middle class. Yes, the rich and the upper middle-class clever can escape the penalties stemming from your policies, but the lower-middle class and the poor can’t.

Think of it this way: your policies are making it more palatable for average people to buy gold, because the alternatives in savings are lousy. If there is no income, why not grab safety from inflation?

Author David Merkel then suggests a comparison to Arthur Burns, one of the worst Fed Chairman ever, a subject that will be taken up in the next item that appears here.

U.S. Economy Grows at 2.8% Pace in Q4

The Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter, a slightly slower pace than expected.

This is the first of three estimates for the period and marks the best growth rate in a year-and-a-half following a reading of 1.8 percent in the third quarter. But, don’t be surprised if the most recent data is revised lower since downward revisions have been the norm in recent quarters, the third quarter data starting out at a similar level – a 2.5 percent rate – when it was initially reported.

The bulk of the overall gain (more than 1.9 percentage points of the 2.8 percent figure) came from rising inventories and, since this category is subject to heavy revisions in the second estimate, there is more reason to think that GDP could be revised lower next month.

Personal consumption made a positive contribution of 1.5 percentage points, primarily the purchase of durable goods, and government spending subtracted 0.9 percentage points while net exports were a small negative.

Faster growth to close out 2011 ended a sluggish year as the economy grew by just 1.7 percent, down from 3.0 percent in 2010 after contraction in both 2008 and 2009.

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Roach: “Zero Bound Until 2025″

Not surprisingly, Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach doesn’t think much of the idea of perpetual ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) as part of an ongoing policy by the Fed and he talks to Bloomberg’s Tom Keene on this subject and others while in Davos, Switzerland.

Roach says that, along with many other Western central bankers, Fed Chief Ben Bernanke is “betting the ranch on open-ended QE and zero interest rates” that, throughout history, have only been used as emergency measures, not long-term policy.

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