Live Coverage of Boston Manhunt

The nation is now transfixed on the manhunt for the Boston Marathon bombers, one of whom is already dead. I have no idea how the NECN stream below can keep up with the demand as this was the main Yahoo! link to live coverage, but it seems to be solid as a rock.

necn_live on livestream.com. Broadcast Live Free






Friday Morning Links

MUST READS
LIVE COVERAGE OF MANHUNT IN WATERTOWN, MA – NECN
Police Search for 19-Year-Old Boston Bombing Suspect – Bloomberg
New Bowles-Simpson plan takes aim at deficit – Washington Post
Are Reinhart and Rogoff Right Anyway? – Baseline Scenario
Austerity is having a terrible week – MarketWatch
End This Excel Depression Now! – Krugman, NY Times
Risky ‘Abenomics’: Can Japan Jumpstart Its Economy? – Spiegel
Japan officials defends easy money gamble – CNN/Money
Low-interest-rates exposes seniors to fraudsters – Washington Post
Ron Paul Isn’t Worried About Falling Gold Prices – Slate
Brian McKenna explores The Secret World of Gold – Montreal Gazette
This Gold Bug Ain’t for Turning! – LewRockwell.com
Bow to Our Malefactors – WSJ

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil rises above $88 per barrel – AP
Gold rallies but still set for 4th week of losses – Reuters
Stocks, Oil Rise as Yen Falls; Gold Climbs Above $1,400 – Bloomberg
After Apple’s Rise, a Bruising Fall – NY Times
Next Wave of Earnings on its Way – CNBC
Treasuries Fall Amid Bets Fed Will Stop Buying Debt – Bloomberg
Gold Futures Raid Leads To ‘Extraordinary’ Global Demand – GoldCore
Price falls, and festivals bring in Indian jewellery buyers – Mineweb
Ignore COMEX Pricing – Silver Eagles Sold Out at Dealers, $33 on Ebay – Kitco
Slump in gold price releases years of pent-up retail demand – Reuters
The whole world is talking about gold – The Real Asset Co.

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
Public pessimism on economy is increasing – AP
Goldman Confirms Slowdown Accelerating – Zero Hedge
Substantial Evidence Of A Slowdown – Comstock Funds
IMF’s Lagarde says ECB has more room to ease – MarketWatch
How Europe’s Crisis Countries Hide their Wealth – Spiegel
Italy’s Political Strife Worsens on Presidential Vote – CNBC
‘Like 1930s Germany’: Greek Far Right Gains Ground – Spiegel
Canadian deposits safe under bail-in, but no guarantee – Financial Post
Property prices continue to rise in March – China Daily
Rising California prices create healthy cycle – Housing Wire
Did underwater mortgages kill the economy? – Washington Post
Fed’s Kocherlakota: Low rates may last 5-10 years – MarketWatch
Inflation is very, very low. Time to worry? – CNN/Money

 

Superhero Central Bankers Flying Blind

Now here’s a big vote of confidence for all those smart economists with PhDs who are now now running the world’s central banks – not one, but two, stories in the mainstream financial media today questioning whether they know what they’re doing.

First, from the Financial Times comes this story in which we learn that, central bankers themselves say they’re flying blind.

Central Bankers Say They Are Flying Blind

Growing concern at the International Monetary Fund over the long-term side-effects of interest rates close to zero came as some of the leading figures in central banking conceded they were flying blind when steering their economies.

Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, the former member of the European Central Bank’s executive board, captured the mood at the IMF’s spring meeting, saying: “We don’t fully understand what is happening in advanced economies.”

In what is equally refreshing and disturbing, they admit to not knowing what they were doing before the financial crisis as well as during and after it, that is, assuming it’s over (which it probably isn’t).

In this lengthier Reuters report, central banker are seen as superheroes without a script.

Central bankers cast as superheroes with no script

“The danger that we drown in money is small compared to the danger that we slide deeper into crisis and that it gets harder to get out,” said Marcel Fratzscher, former head of research at the ECB and now head of Germany’s DIW economic institute.

But nowhere is unease about expanding the role of central banks greater than in Germany, home to the fiercely independent Bundesbank.

Germans worry that relying on central banks minting cash creates a dangerous illusion that there are pain-free fixes to largely political, social or demographic problems.

I guess that’s the message here – everyone seems to want solutions that are pain-free and the world’s central banks are about the only ones that seem capable of providing that.

Another 11 tonnes of gold exited the trust for the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) on Wednesday in what was its seventh consecutive decline, totaling just over 70 tonnes. This came after a brief stabilization in the ETF’s holdings earlier in the month, prior to the major sell-off in the gold futures market that began last Friday.

What’s interesting about these latest developments is that, unlike the prior two years when gold ETF flows had little relationship to the gold price, recently they do.

This could mean that lower gold prices lie ahead.

In this story from early this year, it was noted that there has been only a weak correlation between the gold price and ETF flows in 2011 and 2012, a point that should be fairly obvious when looking at the graphic below.

The yearly correlation between GLD holdings and the gold price is shown in bold and it is clear that this relationship has changed rather dramatically in recent months, rising from 0.59 in 2012 to 0.79 during the first few months of 2013.

As you might deduce from looking at the chart, the higher correlation began in January and has strengthened since that time. Over the last six weeks, the correlation is now at about 0.90, rivaling the high seen back in 2007 when the two curves moved almost in lockstep.

[To continue reading this story, please visit Seeking Alpha.]

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A trio of new surveys from Gallup point to a rapidly changing outlook by Americans on such topics as the economy, housing, and investment classes in general, real estate and precious metals in particular. First, after holding steady in recent weeks as other measures of consumer confidence faded, this Gallup survey is now showing weakness too.

While they may not feel as good about the economy in general, rising home prices have Americans feeling confident about this trend continuing according to this poll.

Given the above, it should come as no surprise that Americans’ preferred asset class is no longer gold, but housing, as detailed in this survey. Since this poll was conducted prior to the early-April sell-off in precious metals, look for recent trends to accelerate next time.

We’re pretty good at noticing trends and projecting those trends into the future…

Thursday Morning Links

MUST READS
Central Bankers Say They Are Flying Blind – FT
Commodities crash, recession now looms – MSN Money
Fed and Bank of Japan caused gold crash – Telegraph
Debt and growth: Revisiting Reinhart-Rogoff – Economist
Drama over Debt Paper Changes Nothing…and Everything – Fiscal Times
Why the Fuss Over Reinhart and Rogoff Is Overblown – CNBC
With Debt Study’s Errors Confirmed, Debate on Conclusion Goes On – NY Times
Young Student Loan Borrowers Retreat from Housing and Auto Markets – NY Fed
The Crumbling Case for Austerity Economics – The New Yorker
The Bitcoin Bubble and a Bad Hypothesis – The National Interest
I lost $50,000 in Bitcoin crash, but I’m still a believer – CNN/Money
How the Falling Yen Can Save the Euro – Bloomberg
Speaking of Money – NY Sun

MARKETS/INVESTING
Oil up to near $88, rebounding on US supply drop – AP
Gold up in roller-coaster trade, sentiment stays uneasy – Reuters
Apple shares fall below $400 on fears of slowing sales – BBC
US Crude Oil Production Sets Record in 2012 – Live Trading News
Gold rises; physical buyers emerge from lows – Reuters
Gold price fall to be probed by market regulators – Mining.com
Gold Drop Spurs Demand From Indian Bazaar to Chinese Mall – Bloomberg
Paper Gold Crashes, Physical Sees Unprecedented Demand – Sharps Pixley
The case for owning gold has collapsed – CNN/Money
Gold in short supply in Dubai – Gulf News
So Gold Crashed. Now What? – CNBC

ECONOMY/WORLD/HOUSING/BANKING
Americans’ Confidence in Economy Slips – Gallup
A Falling Unemployment Rate Is Always Good – Bloomberg
Cyprus Today: A Personal Account – Testosterone Pit
Japan logs record $83.4B trade deficit in FY2012 – AP
The Poverty Lie: How Europe’s Crisis Countries Hide their Wealth – Spiegel
Bersani Party Splinters on Presidential Deal With Berlusconi – Bloomberg
Broad Majority: German Parliament Approves Cyprus Bailout – Spiegel
Banker Jumps to Death in Beijing’s Finance Street – Caixin Online
3 reasons the housing recovery may not last – CNN/Money
As gold hits the dirt, real estate glitters – MarketWatch
Mortgage Relief Checks Go Out, Only to Bounce – Dealbook
Bullard Ready To Increase QE As Inflation Is ‘Too Low’ – Forbes
Fed’s Beige Book: District-by-District Summary – WSJ

 
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