Chris Whalen: 2009 as an Interregnum

Spotted over at the Pragmatic Capitalist was this interview with Chris Whalen of Institutional Risk Analytics in which he talks about the sorry shape of the banking industry a full two years after the worst of the financial crisis.

A related presentation can be found here – the crisis is far from over…







Investors Hope Fed Props Up the Economy

Over a bowl of cereal just a few minutes ago, this Associated Press story reprinted in the local newspaper was happened upon and I couldn’t help but think of the sorry state the stock market has come to, what with retail investors shunning equities like the plague and trading now dominated by super fast computers in the little understood world of high frequency trading along with shell-shocked hedge funds and pensions funds that, according to a Wall Street Journal report over the weekend, are still assuming that they can get an eight percent annual return and retirees depending on that happening.

Is that what it’s come to? After freakishly low interest rates and a trillion and a half dollars of money printing by the central bank and after the Federal government intervened in ways never thought possible before to prop up the banking sector, the auto sector, and nearly the entire housing market, it’s now up to the Federal Reserve to deliver more money printing so that the economy and, by extension, the stock market can be similarly propped up?

You have to wonder what someone waking up today from a 15-year coma would think about our current condition, one  that, increasingly seems to be accepted as the status quo, the casual reference in the AP story above being the latest example.

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Zombies in the News Again

It seems that, as we venture further into the post-2008 crash financial world, the word “zombie” is popping up more and more, two sightings to be found in just a cursory scan of the news this morning, zombie buildings in Spain as reported by the Wall Street Journal and this commentary about zombie banks by Jonathan Weil at Bloomberg.

Zombie Banks Have Us Right Where They Want Us


Here’s the kind of thing that passes for free enterprise now. Last month a fellow named Michael Carpenter, who is the chief executive officer of Ally Financial, got on a conference call with securities analysts and gushed with delight about the $3.5 billion price that General Motors had just agreed to pay for the subprime auto lender AmeriCredit. Based on that transaction, he proclaimed, Ally might be worth $30 billion.

GM, which owns a 6.7 percent stake in Ally, is Ally’s former parent.

“I love the AmeriCredit deal,” said Carpenter, whom some might remember from his days as the head of the securities firm Kidder Peabody. “I don’t have any doubt about our ability to repay the U.S. Treasury. So I think it’s great.”

The federal government so far has spent $17.2 billion to bail out Ally, the lender formerly known as GMAC Inc. Taxpayers hold a 56.3 percent stake in the company, which says it may hold an initial public offering next year if it can’t find a buyer.

What a spectacle. Here you had the CEO of a thrice-bailed- out zombie bank, drooling over how much a government-owned carmaker was going to pay for a publicly traded subprime lender, and using this price as a yardstick for his own bank’s paper worth. In a sane world, Ally would have been liquidated already. Any capital it’s able to raise is money that otherwise might go to more deserving enterprises.

Weil goes on to lament the propping up of the housing market, savers being punished with low interest rates, and  how we need to throw the bums in Washington out.

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Rogers: Stop Printing Money

Long time commodity bull Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, was on CNBC a short time ago and shared some thoughts about how the Fed should stop printing money and advised investors to bet against Ben Bernanke and his printing press rather than with them.

Nothing Bernanke has ever said has turned out to be right. Please go back and look up his record and you will see. The man just doesn’t understand economics. He doesn’t understand finance. He doesn’t understand currencies. All he understands is printing money. This is not going to work.

Lest you think this is just spouting off, see the classic clip Ben Bernanke Was Wrong.

INSIDE JOB

Here’s what looks to be one of the better films about the financial crisis – INSIDE JOB – from Academy Award nominated filmmaker Charles Ferguson, narrated by Matt Damon.

Favorite line: “These people are risk takers, they’re impulsive. You see a lot of cocaine use, prostitution” and don’t miss another smackdown of Hubris Incarnate with a Fatter Wallet (Frederic Mishkin) at about the 1:35 mark.

How a Ponzi Scheme Works and More!

For some reason, the closing credits to The Other Guys contains a number of animations on the subject of the ongoing financial crisis, beginning with how a Ponzi scheme works.

Half way through is my favorite – a time lapse depiction using elevators to show how the ratio of CEO salaries to employee salaries has changed over the last hundred years.

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