Chinese Consumers Blame the U.S.

One of the more interesting aspects of the ongoing currency rift between China and the U.S. is that Chinese consumers are now blaming Fed money printing for domestic inflation, one account being provided in this story at ChannelNews Asia.

At a bustling outdoor fruit and vegetable market in Beijing, Zhan Tiehui grumbles about rising prices for garlic, ginger and cabbage and points a stubby finger in the direction of the United States.

“The source of China’s inflation is America, they are printing too much money,” Zhan, 50, told AFP as she clutched plastic bags full of vegetables.

“Everything is definitely more expensive than last year.”

Chinese consumer fears are rising along with prices after October inflation grew at the fastest pace in two years. The problem is fueled by soaring food costs after severe summer flooding and more recent cold snaps hit crop yields.

But Zhan was echoing Chinese government criticisms of the US move to pump 600 billion dollars into the American economy, which Beijing warns could cause damaging fund flows into emerging economies such as China and fuel inflation.

If not for the long history of rising prices sparking unrest amongst the populace who then take to the streets to protest (and sometimes do much more), this might not be such a concern, however, political change, though infrequent, comes swiftly in the Middle Kingdom.

It seems that, regardless of the real source of the recent bout of inflation, the Chinese government has been successful so far in deflecting the blame off from themselves and onto the U.S., another interview subject in the report noting, “Problems in the American economy … and hot money inflows have some impact on China”.

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Prices Keep Rising in China

Channel News Asia reports that the Chinese government has “solutions” planned for that little problem they’re having with inflation and the solution involves prices controls, a move that almost never seems to work as black markets quickly spring up.

China planning inflation solutions: Premier

Premier Wen Jiabao has said China is drafting measures to contain rising prices in the latest sign of official concern after inflation grew at its fastest pace in two years.

“Great attention should be paid to market supply and demand and prices because they are related to the public’s basic interests,” Wen was quoted as saying in a statement on the central government’s website late Tuesday.

“The State Council (Cabinet) is formulating measures to curb the overly fast rises of prices.”

The statement said Wen made the comments during a visit to a supermarket last Thursday in the southern city of Guangzhou.

Inflation fears in China have been further fueled by the US Federal Reserve’s decision to pump money into the American economy.

It seems that, when the Fed pumps money into the U.S. economy, that money is more likely to come out in other economies around the world because there’s barely a whiff of inflation in America. The McDonald’s chain in China is also raising prices according to this report in Reuters – anywhere from 0.5 to 1 yuan per item or, roughly, 35 to 70 cents.

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Dr. Copper Pulls Back, Other Metals Follow

The copper price is certainly not taking kindly to news that price controls are being imposed in China, the metal with a PhD in economics plunging $20 yesterday, recouping only a fraction of that today, and now down sharply from the two-year highs of a week ago.

And it’s not just copper. From the price peaks of early-last week, aluminum is now down 9 percent, nickel has dropped 12 percent, lead is 14 percent lower, and zinc, the metal with the least support from “normal” demand factors (i.e., actual demand, rather than just a place for some of the Fed’s easy money to go) has seen its price plunge 17 percent.

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A Bad Rap for Global Currencies

This video about U.S.-China trade relations has been popping up all over the place. The song is kind of catchy, though, in general, I’m not crazy about the term “frenemy”.

Favorite line by the Chinese character: “You’re in no position to call me a sinner. Without Bretton Woods you’d be Argentina.

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What Germany Thinks of the U.S.

This week’s G20 meeting in South Korea should become a little bit more interesting when the German and U.S. delegations get together to talk about how things are going in the global economy. Some comments by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble as reported in Der Spiegel yesterday detail some of the major areas of disagreement.

SPIEGEL: Minister Schäuble, how well do you get along with your American counterpart, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner?

Schäuble: Mr. Geithner is an excellent minister. We have a good personal relationship.

SPIEGEL: Nevertheless, he constantly criticizes government officials in countries that are achieving high export surpluses and not doing enough to stimulate their domestic economies. He’s referring to you, isn’t he?

Schäuble: It would appear that way. That’s why I tell him again and again that I think his point of view is incorrect in this regard.

Schäuble: The German export successes are not the result of some sort of currency manipulation, but of the increased competitiveness of companies. The American growth model, on the other hand, is in a deep crisis. The United States lived on borrowed money for too long, inflating its financial sector unnecessarily and neglecting its small and mid-sized industrial companies. There are many reasons for America’s problems, but they don’t include German export surpluses.

It would seem that the same areas of disagreement persist – the U.S. saying the world’s exporters such as Germany and China don’t spend enough while Germany and China say the U.S. spends too much. Surely there’s a balance to be struck there, but, it doesn’t look as though we’re any closer now than we were ten years ago.

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Stimulating the Overstimulated

Via this item at Zero Hedge comes Niall Ferguson again talking about the perils of Keynsian solutions to our globalized  economy and how more money printing and higher budget deficits may cause more harm than good. While not coming off nearly as pompous as usual, he makes a good point about how additional stimulus is more likely to boost commodity prices and all sorts of things in emerging markets but won’t do much for jobs in Michigan.

To add a bit more color to the Ferguson commentary, we turn to Mr. Durden:

…the confines of a theoretical Keynesian system have been the recipe for the disaster unfolding now before our eyes (which is not to say that Austrian economics is necessarily better, although intuitively they certainly make a far more compelling case, and would certainly not have led to the current pre-apocalyptic economic situation, which only the most addicted to Kool Aid pig lipstickers refuse to acknowledge).

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