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	<title>The Mess That Greenspan Made &#187; Consumerism</title>
	<atom:link href="http://timiacono.com/index.php/tag/consumerism/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://timiacono.com</link>
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		<title>Confidence (and Credit Card Usage) Soar</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/02/08/confidence-and-credit-card-usage-soar/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/02/08/confidence-and-credit-card-usage-soar/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 14:15:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=27474</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The big question now is that of sustainability &#8211; what happens in the months ahead &#8211; but, since the crisis over the debt-ceiling increase was (temporarily) solved last summer and the jobless rate began to turn down, we &#8216;Mericans have become an optimistic bunch and this Gallup survey provides the latest confirmation.

And optimistic &#8216;Mericans tend [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The big question now is that of sustainability &#8211; what happens in the months ahead &#8211; but, since the crisis over the debt-ceiling increase was (temporarily) solved last summer and the jobless rate began to turn down, we &#8216;Mericans have become an optimistic bunch and this Gallup <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/152504/Economic-Confidence-Climbs-Fifth-Straight-Month.aspx">survey</a> provides the latest confirmation.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27488" title="12-02-08_gallup_confidence" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/12-02-08_gallup_confidence.png" alt="" width="576" height="337" /></p>
<p>And optimistic &#8216;Mericans tend to borrow and spend, more of that being confirmed in yesterday&#8217;s report on consumer credit that showed another monthly gain for outstanding credit card balances after declining steadily for years after the 2008 financial creisis and recession. Jake has details on that in this <a href="http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2012/02/consumer-credit-on-rebound.html">item</a> at EconomPicData.</p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Surge in Consumer Confidence Stalls</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/31/surge-in-consumer-confidence-stalls/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/31/surge-in-consumer-confidence-stalls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 17:50:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Bubbles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FIRE Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=27147</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following word that home prices continued to fall last fall as noted here earlier today, news comes from the Conference Board that consumer confidence declined for the first time in three months, down from an upwardly revised 64.8 in December to 61.1 in January.
Importantly, this is the first major gauge of the mood of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Following word that home prices continued to fall last fall as noted <a href="http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/31/home-price-declines-accelerate/">here</a> earlier today, news comes from the Conference Board that consumer confidence declined for the first time in three months, down from an upwardly revised 64.8 in December to 61.1 in January.</p>
<p>Importantly, this is the first major gauge of the mood of the consumer to reverse course in recent months as, apparently, those holiday credit card bills have begun to take a toll.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27148" title="12-01-31_consumer_confidence" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/12-01-31_consumer_confidence.png" alt="" width="559" height="404" /></p>
<p>Recall that a surprising surge in credit card usage during the fourth quarter was credited with driving holiday sales higher and, now that those November and December charges are starting to show up in mailboxes in January, the mood is not quite as festive.</p>
<p>Well, gasoline prices starting to rise again doesn&#8217;t help either&#8230;</p>
<p>The present situation component nearly reversed last month&#8217;s gain, falling more than 8 points to 38.4, while the expectations component also declined, from 77.0 in December to 76.2 in January. One-year inflation expectations rose from 5.3 percent to 5.5 percent, in stark contrast to Fed Chief Ben Bernanke&#8217;s claim that inflation is too low.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Retail Sales Up 0.1%, Down 0.2% Ex-Autos</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/12/retail-sales-up-0-1-down-0-2-ex-autos/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/12/retail-sales-up-0-1-down-0-2-ex-autos/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 14:01:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=26237</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Commerce Department reported(.pdf) that retail sales in the U.S. came in well below expectations last month, rising 0.1 percent in December following an upwardly revised increase of 0.4 percent in November. Excluding automobiles, sales fell 0.2 percent after a gain of 0.3 percent the month prior.

Apparently, American consumers bought nearly all of their iPads, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Commerce Department <a href="http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf">reported(.pdf)</a> that retail sales in the U.S. came in well below expectations last month, rising 0.1 percent in December following an upwardly revised increase of 0.4 percent in November. Excluding automobiles, sales fell 0.2 percent after a gain of 0.3 percent the month prior.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-26238" title="12-01-12_retail_sales" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/12-01-12_retail_sales.png" alt="" width="566" height="406" /></p>
<p>Apparently, American consumers bought nearly all of their iPads, iPhones, and big screen TVs in November as electronics &amp; appliance stores saw sales plunge 3.9 percent in December, the largest decline amongst six of the 13 categories where sales were lower. Gasoline station sales fell 1.6 percent due to a plunging price at the pump and sales at general merchandise stores fell 0.8 percent.</p>
<p>Motor vehicle sales rose 1.7 percent last month and home improvement stores saw a 1.6 percent increase to lead the advancing categories as food and clothing sales both rose 0.7 percent. On a year-over-year basis, overall sales were up 6.5 percent and, for all of 2011, sales rose 7.7 percent, both fairly impressive increases given the slow economic recovery.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Americans Gorge on Credit Card Offers</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/10/americans-gorge-on-credit-card-offers/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2012/01/10/americans-gorge-on-credit-card-offers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jan 2012 16:00:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Our Culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=26118</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It would appear that the Federal Reserve&#8217;s guarantee of freakishly low interest rates until at least 2013 (soon to be extended into 2014 or beyond) and the resulting push by credit card companies to clog mail boxes with all sorts or tempting offers had the desired effect on Americans as they racked up new credit [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It would appear that the Federal Reserve&#8217;s guarantee of freakishly low interest rates until at least 2013 (soon to be extended into 2014 or beyond) and the resulting push by credit card companies to clog mail boxes with all sorts or tempting offers had the desired effect on Americans as they racked up new credit card debt in November at a rate not seen since before the wheels fell of the global financial system back in early-2008.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-26221" title="12-01-09_g19_revolving_credit" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/12-01-09_g19_revolving_credit2.png" alt="" width="578" height="419" /></p>
<p>The data for December might be even more impressive since, what U.S. citizen in their right mind <em>wouldn&#8217;t</em> borrow a thousand dollars or two to get that big flat screen TV and new sound system at Christmas time if they could do so without incurring any interest charges and making only minimal payments for the next year or two.</p>
<p>While some say this indicates renewed confidence in the U.S. economy &#8211; one where 70 percent of all activity is based on consumer spending -  others think this is akin to a drunk &#8220;falling of the wagon&#8221; after almost three years of sobriety.</p>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Retail Sales Disappoint</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/12/13/retail-sales-disappoint/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/12/13/retail-sales-disappoint/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 14:34:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=25459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Commerce Department reported(.pdf) that retail sales in the U.S. advanced for the sixth straight month, but the increase was less than expected, sales rising just 0.2 percent in November after a surge of 1.3 percent in September and a gain of 0.6 percent in October.
Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2 percent after a gain  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Commerce Department <a href="http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf">reported(.pdf)</a> that retail sales in the U.S. advanced for the sixth straight month, but the increase was less than expected, sales rising just 0.2 percent in November after a surge of 1.3 percent in September and a gain of 0.6 percent in October.</p>
<p>Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2 percent after a gain  of 0.6 percent in October while sales excluding both autos and gasoline  rose 0.2 percent in November after a gain of 0.7 percent.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-25460" title="11-12-12_retail_sales" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/11-12-12_retail_sales.png" alt="" width="566" height="407" /></p>
<p>Gasoline station sales dropped 0.1 percent after declining 0.4 percent, but they are still up 12.9 percent from a year ago due to higher prices at the pump, not higher energy demand.</p>
<p>Auto sales rose 0.7 percent after a surge of 1.0 percent the month prior while the biggest monthly increase in November occurred at electronics &amp; appliance stores with a jump of 2.1 percent jump after surging 3.3 percent in October, a testament to America&#8217;s love for such products as Apple&#8217;s iPad2.</p>
<p>Seven retail categories saw higher sales while six declined, paced by a drop of 1.2 percent at miscellaneous store retailers and a decline of 0.3 percent at home improvement stores.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Unusual Developments in Consumer Credit</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/12/09/unusual-developments-in-consumer-credit/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/12/09/unusual-developments-in-consumer-credit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Dec 2011 18:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Our Culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Bubbles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FIRE Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=25278</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From this item at Jake&#8217;s EconomPicData blog the other day comes the graphic below depicting dramatic changes in consumer credit trends over the years. Racking up revolving credit (e.g., credit cards) is not nearly as popular as it was for decades, what I&#8217;ve long called &#8220;the real Reagan Revolution&#8221; as individuals dramatically increased their use [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From this <a href="http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2011/12/consumer-credit-excluding-student-loans.html">item</a> at Jake&#8217;s EconomPicData blog the other day comes the graphic below depicting dramatic changes in consumer credit trends over the years. Racking up revolving credit (e.g., credit cards) is not nearly as popular as it was for decades, what I&#8217;ve long called &#8220;the <em>real</em> Reagan Revolution&#8221; as individuals dramatically increased their use of credit cards to fuel consumption (i.e., buying things you don&#8217;t need with money you don&#8217;t have).<br />
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-25359" title="11-12-06_consumer_credit" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/11-12-06_consumer_credit.jpg" alt="" width="579" height="442" /></p>
<p>Taking up the slack for falling credit card balances are higher student loan balances that, already, are further separating the nation into have and have-nots (a.k.a. debt serfs) while making the whole idea of higher education less appealing when this is one the the things the country needs most to remain competitive with emerging economies in Asia.</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Consumer Confidence Surges</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/29/consumer-confidence-surges/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/29/consumer-confidence-surges/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Nov 2011 16:47:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=24969</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Conference Board reported that consumer confidence surged from a two-and-a-half year low of 40.9 in October to 56.0 in November, the highest reading since before the debt ceiling debate began over the summer. After six months of declines, the  Present Situation Index jumped from 27.1 to 38.3 and the Expectations  Index surged [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Conference Board <a href="http://www.conference-board.org/data/consumerconfidence.cfm">reported</a> that consumer confidence surged from a two-and-a-half year low of 40.9 in October to 56.0 in November, the highest reading since before the debt ceiling debate began over the summer. After six months of declines, the  Present Situation Index jumped from 27.1 to 38.3 and the Expectations  Index surged from 50.0 to 67.8.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-24970" title="11-11-29_consumer_confidence" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/11-11-29_consumer_confidence.png" alt="" width="560" height="393" /></p>
<p>Those saying jobs are &#8220;plentiful&#8221; increased from 3.6 percent to 5.8 percent while those saying  jobs are &#8220;hard to get&#8221; fell  from 46.9 percent to 42.1  percent.</p>
<p>Income expectations also improved, those saying they anticipate an increase in their wages over the next six months rose from 11.1 percent to 14.9 percent and business conditions are also expected to be better early next year, that view shared by 13.6 percent of respondents versus 10.2 percent last month.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>It&#8217;s Black Friday</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/25/its-black-friday/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/25/its-black-friday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Nov 2011 14:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=24849</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is there anything as uniquely American as Black Friday? Probably not.
Shoppers are apparently too busy shopping at the moment to post pictures and videos to the internet, so, here&#8217;s a popular Black Friday video compilation from a year ago.
 
Last night, a woman at a Los Angeles WalMart reportedly pepper sprayed rivals going for the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is there anything as uniquely <em>American</em> as Black Friday? Probably not.</p>
<p>Shoppers are apparently too busy shopping at the moment to post pictures and videos to the internet, so, here&#8217;s a popular Black Friday video compilation from a year ago.</p>
<p><iframe width="575" height="322" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/2zBWjlkKDpA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> </p>
<p>Last night, a woman at a Los Angeles WalMart <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-501363_162-57331142/woman-pepper-sprays-other-black-friday-shoppers/">reportedly</a> pepper sprayed rivals going for the electronics she had her eyes on and this Washington Post <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/on-small-business/new-research-reveals-the-reasons-we-shop-on-black-friday/2011/11/23/gIQA9lghoN_story.html">story</a>  delves into the question of why we Americans do what we do on the day after Thanksgiving. Here&#8217;s reason #1:</p>
<blockquote><p>
<strong>1) The crowds make us happy</strong><br />
&#8230;<br />
Ordinarily, shoppers are turned off by crowds. But when crowds create a sense of competition — such as when hundreds of shoppers are rushing to collect marked-down goods — they generate a different feeling entirely. Competition creates what’s called hedonic shopping value, or a sense of enjoyment from the mere process of buying goods.</p></blockquote>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Holiday Holding Pattern for Sentiment/Stocks?</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/23/holiday-holding-pattern-for-stockssentiment/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/23/holiday-holding-pattern-for-stockssentiment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Nov 2011 18:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=24798</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It would appear that we&#8217;ve entered a holiday holding pattern for consumer sentiment and the stock market, that is, until something really bad happens either in Europe or in the U.S.

The latest take on the mood of the American consumer from Reuters and the University of Michigan shows that attitudes were virtually unchanged, the sentiment [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It would appear that we&#8217;ve entered a holiday holding pattern for consumer sentiment and the stock market, that is, until something <em>really</em> bad happens either in Europe or in the U.S.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-24833" title="11-11-22_sentiment" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/11-11-22_sentiment.png" alt="" width="572" height="390" /></p>
<p>The latest take on the mood of the American consumer from Reuters and the University of Michigan shows that attitudes were virtually unchanged, the sentiment index falling from 64.2 in October to 64.1 in November. One-year inflation expectations were steady at 3.2 percent with the five-year inflation outlook rising one-tenth to 2.7 percent.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Retail Sales Continue to Rise</title>
		<link>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/15/retail-sales-continue-to-rise-2/</link>
		<comments>http://timiacono.com/index.php/2011/11/15/retail-sales-continue-to-rise-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Nov 2011 14:42:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumerism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timiacono.com/?p=24589</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Commerce Department reported(.pdf) that U.S. retail sales rose 0.5 percent in October following an increase of 1.1 percent in September, more evidence that, while Americans may take a dim view of their current condition, it hasn&#8217;t stopped them from spending.

Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.6 percent last month and gains were broad based as [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Commerce Department <a href="http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf">reported(.pdf)</a> that U.S. retail sales rose 0.5 percent in October following an increase of 1.1 percent in September, more evidence that, while Americans may take a dim view of their current condition, it hasn&#8217;t stopped them from spending.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-24591" title="11-11-15_retail_sales" src="http://timiacono.com/wp-content/uploads/11-11-15_retail_sales1.png" alt="" width="566" height="405" /></p>
<p>Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.6 percent last month and gains were broad based as 10 of the 13 major categories saw higher sales. Electronics sales surged 3.7 percent after a jump of 3.5 percent the month prior while sales at home improvement stores rose 1.5 percent and sporting goods sales gained 1.1 percent.</p>
<p>Clothing sales fell 0.7 percent and gasoline station sales dropped 0.4 percent as lower energy prices made their way to end consumers, however, given the recent rebound in oil prices, that trend could quickly reverse.</p>
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