Yves Smith of the popular Naked Capitalism blog talks with Robert Miller of the Telegraph about her recently released book that, apparently, doesn’t paint the world’s economists in a very flattering light – ECONned: How Unenlightened Self Interest Undermined Democracy and Corrupted Capitalism.

I’ve always thought of mainstream economists (i.e., not the Robert Shiller or Dean Baker types) as being the unwitting accomplices of Wall Street and Washington, oftentimes providing the intellectual cover for doing things that, as should be clear by now, not only aren’t  in the nation’s best long term interests but that are quite destructive.

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Alan Greenspan on Social Security

Toward the end of this New York Times story about the Social Security “trust fund” experiencing net withdrawals this year for the first time are a few words from former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan about the system that he helped “fix” back in the early 1980s.

Although Social Security is often said to have a “trust fund,” the term really serves as an accounting device, to track the pay-as-you-go program’s revenue and outlays over time. Its so-called balance is, in fact, a history of its vast cash flows: the sum of all of its revenue in the past, minus all of its outlays. The balance is currently about $2.5 trillion because after the early 1980s the program had surplus revenue, year after year.

Mr. Greenspan recalled in an interview that the sour economy of the late 1970s had taken the program close to insolvency when the commission he led set to work in 1982. It had no contingency reserve then, and the group had to work quickly. He said there were only three choices: raise taxes, lower benefits or bail out the program by tapping general revenue.

The easiest choice, politically, would have been “solving the problem with the stroke of a pen, by printing the money,” Mr. Greenspan said. But one member of the commission, Claude Pepper, then a House representative, blocked that approach because he feared it would undermine Social Security, changing it from a respected, self-sustaining old-age program into welfare.

Recall that payroll taxes were raised back in 1983 and the Federal Government has been spending the Social Security surplus every year since that time, in the process making the government’s annual budget look a lot better than it actually is. This no doubt helped to make the former Fed chairman quite popular with elected officials, that is, until the whole financial system melted down a couple years ago.

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China, Big Macs, Roach, and Krugman

The Economist’s recently updated Big Mac Index seems to add credence to the views of Mr. Krugman over those of Mr. Roach from this item earlier today, part of an increasingly nasty dispute (at least, for economists) about China’s currency policy.
IMAGE Does anyone know if there is any empirical data on using the Big Mac Index as the basis for a FOREX trading strategy? It seems pretty simple and, over the long run, would likely be profitable to bet against the overvalued currencies and go long the undervalued ones.

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Economist Steven Roach of Morgan Stanley Asia has some not-so-kind words for economist Paul Krugman and his view that the Chinese currency should be allowed to strengthen considerably from its current level.
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Says Roach: America doesn’t have a China problem, it has a savings problem … We should take out the baseball bat on Paul Krugman. I mean I think that the advice is completely wrong …. We’re lashing out at China rather than tending to our own business”.

According to this report, Krugman replied, I’m a little surprised at Steve for saying that. What I said is actually based on pretty careful economic analysis. We have a world economy which is depressed by China artificially keeping its currency undervalued.”

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Econo-Limericks

A few economics-themed limericks spotted over at the WSJ economic blog this afternoon beginning with Fed chief Ben Bernanke:

“I’m afraid,” said Bernanke to Geithner,
“The debt crisis still has lots of bite in ‘er.
Though it may cause some ranklin’
I’ll print lots more Franklins:
We’ll loosen our money, not tighten ‘er!”

Said Bernanke, stroking his beard,
“This ‘-flation’ is worse than I feared;
All the research I see
Is pointing to ‘de-’;
It’s the ‘in-’ crowd that strikes me as weird.”

One called “Overheard at Goldman Sachs”:
“We assume that you know what you’re doing,
In this ill-advised trade you’re pursuing,
But the opposite bet
That we place on your debt
May eventually hasten your ruin.”

That last one is an instant classic. There are lots more at Limericks Economiques.

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One of the most disturbing aspects of the recent economic collapse and the ongoing financial market crisis is that there is still widespread disagreement over who or what caused it.

All too often, pundits say, “You can’t lay all the blame for our current condition on one institution or one man” and that is true, but these same commentators oftentimes skirt answering the toughest of questions about what nearly brought the whole financial system down by distributing the blame among many players and many failings.

By arguing that the entire system must be reformed, nothing ends up being changed as we see now – almost eighteen months after the worst financial market crisis since the Great Depression and there have been no substantive changes to how the financial system works.

Many argue the system has become more crisis-prone.

An even more disheartening development is that there continues to be debate about whether the most fundamental aspect of credit markets – short-term interest rates – was a major factor in precipitating the late-2008 meltdown.

As evidenced by the musings of current Fed chief Ben Bernanke in early-January, the central bank – the group that controls short-term rates – suggests that people look elsewhere for the root cause of the biggest credit bubble and bust in the history of Mankind as the nation’s central bankers did everything right in their conduct of monetary policy.

How could the central bank do everything right and then watch everything go so wrong?

(more…)

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