Life in Williston, North Dakota

The folks at CNN/Money have been running a series of stories about life in Williston, ND, ground zero for the Northern U.S. energy boom.  Last week it was this story about how local strippers can make more money than pole dancers in Las Vegas. This week comes a report about how local college kids are finding the lure of six figure truck driving jobs impossible to resist, putting their education on hold or slowing it to a crawl.

‘My students make twice my salary’

Jim Stout, an English professor at Williston State College in Williston N.D., started losing some of his best students to the oil fields last year.

It was too hard to compete: The students could either spend thousands of dollars on a college education or earn $100,000 a year working on the rigs, performing maintenance on oil wells or driving trucks.

“At some point they decide, ‘Well, college will always be here … but the oil boom won’t,’” he said.

One engineering student dropped out of college last winter to take a job boiling the water used in hydraulic fracturing. In just two weeks, he made $5,000, according to Lance Olson, a science instructor at the college.

With an extreme housing shortage, some suspect that a recent spike in enrollment at Williston State was due to oil field workers taking the minimum number of class credits in order to qualify for inexpensive student housing.

We were through there last fall and had a heck of a time finding a hotel room. With hunting season now in full swing, I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s not a single hotel room available in the whole state during the entire month of November.

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Jim Rogers is Long the Dollar?

On CNBC, Jim Rogers talks about the latest economic data, the next round of quantitative easing, and his investment outlook which, for the most part,  hasn’t changed much over the years. Surprisingly, he’s long the U.S. dollar at the moment, but only as a short-term trade.

There’s more here with additional video here (on regulation) and here (on silver). His basic argument about owning commodities is pretty simple and unchanged for years now – “If the world economy gets better, I earn money on commodities. If the global economy gets worse then they will print more money and I will make money in commodities”.

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SPR = Sudden Price Reduction?

Yesterday’s move by the International Energy Agency to coordinate the release of 60 million barrels of crude oil from SPRs (Strategic Petroleum Reserves) around the world – half of it coming from the U.S. – continues to be debated and the growing consensus seems to be that it is a new form of economic stimulus with the bonus effect of punishing speculators, Sen Ed Markey (D-MA) below noting an alternative definition for the acronym SPR.

As for the current situation constituting an “emergency” (recall that the last two SPR releases occurred during the 1991 Gulf War and after Hurricane Katrina in 2005), the opposition party seems to think that the only real emergency is a political one for the Obama Administration.

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Bloomberg reports that the International Energy Agency has coordinated the release of 60 million barrels of crude oil from stockpiles around the world, half of it coming from U.S. reserves, in order to lessen supply constraints and bolster a struggling global economy.

Oil tumbled to the lowest price in four months after the International Energy Agency said its members would release crude from strategic reserves.

Oil fell as much as 6 percent as the agency announced the release of 60 million barrels to help make up for a Libyan supply disruption. The IEA said 2 million barrels a day would be available in the first 30 days. Commodities and equities tumbled after U.S. jobless claims rose last week and the Federal Reserve cut its economic growth outlook yesterday.

“The big driver is the IEA number,” said Stephen Schork, president of the Schork Group Inc. in Villanova, Pennsylvania. “There’s been a constant string of negative news about the economy and a lack of direction from Washington, which makes for a very volatile market.”

Since it was founded in 1974, this is only the third time that the IEA has taken such an action, the first being the 1991 Gulf War and the second following Hurricane Katrina in 2005. IEA Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka said in a statement, “I expect this action will contribute to well-supplied markets and to ensuring a soft landing for the world economy”.

While the former will no doubt improve, I wouldn’t be so sure about the latter…

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Fear the Chinese Vehicle Fleet?

Links to this story last week by Stuart Staniford have been popping up in a number of places in recent days, most likely due to the rather disturbing graphic below that shows what happens if the 23 percent annual growth rate of China’s vehicle fleet continues.

Yesterday, I posted a graph of the relative size of the US Interstate and Chinese Expressway systems, and pointed out that they are now of roughly equal size.  Commenter Joel noted, based on personal experience, that the Chinese system is comparatively empty.  Statistics on the size of the two vehicle fleets bear this out.  The graph above is based on FHWA data (via the Transportation Energy Data Book), and the Chinese NBS Table 16-25, and includes both trucks and passenger vehicles for both countries.

Absent a sharp slowdown in growth in China, I’d say there is good reason to fear the growing number of gasoline/diesel powered vehicles in the Middle Kingdom.

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Threes Across the Board

[Highlights from the spring of 2006 will be closed out today by looking at gasoline prices at the time, one of the more important trend changes of the last decade and, today, once again causing untold pain for many Americans, particularly those at lower income levels where energy costs are responsible for a larger share of their monthly budgets and these price increases are not offset by quality improvements in the iPad2, which, in addition to not being edible, won't power an automobile. Anyway, appearing on April 24th, 2006, the story below was a real novelty - three dollar a gallon gasoline. Recall that gas prices briefly topped that mark after the late-2005 hurricanes only to rise to the three dollar mark again six months later. What we wouldn't give for three dollar gasoline today...]

ooo

Last summer, when regular gasoline in this part of the country was about $2.70 a gallon, the first of its kind California SUV Fill Up Index was published at this blog. While the $2.80 and $2.90 marks came rather quickly, it has been over six months since the last update.

The three previous posts were here, here, and here, which ultimately led to some investigative reporting on the impact that high gas prices were having on vehicle sales.

A pledge was made early on to update the index with every ten cent rise in the price of gasoline, and after admittedly losing interest in recent months as prices dipped to a low of around $2.15, a recent surge to over $3 has necessitated dusting off the spreadsheet and plugging in the new figure to freshen up the rest of the data.

Not that $3 gas makes any difference to SUV owners in this part of the country.

Not that Ford Excursion drivers with stick figure representations of their seven member family (including two pets) on their rear window would compromise the lifestyle to which they’ve become accustomed for a nuisance such as making ends meet.

Why?

(more…)

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