REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Bill Black is Back!

If you haven’t already seen this Real News Network interview with Bill Black at one of the many places that it was posted in recent days (after originally popping up at New Deal 2.0), it is well worth an hour of your time.

There are many memorable quips like the seemingly obvious “Markets can’t recover if you lie about asset prices” and a rather stunning assessment of the Obama administration’s view that, despite the rhetoric, they feel they can’t make fundamental reforms to our crony-capitalism financial system because it would collapse.

The other segments can be found here – Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, and Part5.







The FCIC’s Witness #1

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) announced the schedule for next week’s hearings on the subjects of subprime lending and mortgage securitization. While clearly they’ll begin looking in the right place, they probably won’t get any good answers.

It should be another interesting Q&A with the former Fed Chairman sitting alone, explaining how he presided over the biggest financial bubble in history. If asked, he’ll no doubt say that the fall of the Berlin Wall was the root cause and that interest rates were just right.

Richard Bitner in Session 2 sent me a copy of his book  a while back and we exchanged a few emails – see here for the review.  This announcement also generated a nice “Greenspan Mess” sighting, this one at the WSJ: “Greenspan to Testify on Subprime Mess

How “Wallstrington” is Organized

Yes, “Wallstrington” is something that just popped into my head and, based on this  search at Google, no one else has uttered the word before, but that doesn’t mean that anyone ever will in the future. Inspired by the cartoon below, it has potential…

From the wonderful archive of R.J. Matson of the St. Louis Post Dispatch.

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The key to our economic well-being has been and will continue to be higher stock prices and the “blossoming of finance” according to former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan in this interview with Al Hunt at Bloomberg.

Higher asset prices have been the central component of his view of “prosperity”, however transient that prosperity turns out to be. Here’s a gem from about the 7 minute mark:

Remember that, the bursting of a bubble, by itself, is not a big catastrophe. We had a dot-com bubble – it burst – and the economy barely moved and the result of this is it’s hard to tell, when that bubble bursts, what the consequences will be.

Warning: This video becomes hazardous to your health just after the fall of the Berlin Wall is again cited as the root cause of the bursting housing and credit market bubble.  I became physically ill at about the 9:30 mark and had to rush to the bathroom.

Peter Schiff on Alan Greenspan

Left sitting in my draft folder for a few days are these thoughts from Peter Schiff about the former Fed chairman following his 48-page defense of monetary policy last week. Now seemed like a good time to hoist it up to the main page.

Peter starts off by noting, “He’s not just the worst Fed chairman we’ve ever had, he’s the worst American we’ve ever had” and then works himself up into a little bit of a lather from there on such subjects as the impact of long-term vs. short-term rates during the housing bubble and other topics.

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Alan Greenspan on Social Security

Toward the end of this New York Times story about the Social Security “trust fund” experiencing net withdrawals this year for the first time are a few words from former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan about the system that he helped “fix” back in the early 1980s.

Although Social Security is often said to have a “trust fund,” the term really serves as an accounting device, to track the pay-as-you-go program’s revenue and outlays over time. Its so-called balance is, in fact, a history of its vast cash flows: the sum of all of its revenue in the past, minus all of its outlays. The balance is currently about $2.5 trillion because after the early 1980s the program had surplus revenue, year after year.

Mr. Greenspan recalled in an interview that the sour economy of the late 1970s had taken the program close to insolvency when the commission he led set to work in 1982. It had no contingency reserve then, and the group had to work quickly. He said there were only three choices: raise taxes, lower benefits or bail out the program by tapping general revenue.

The easiest choice, politically, would have been “solving the problem with the stroke of a pen, by printing the money,” Mr. Greenspan said. But one member of the commission, Claude Pepper, then a House representative, blocked that approach because he feared it would undermine Social Security, changing it from a respected, self-sustaining old-age program into welfare.

Recall that payroll taxes were raised back in 1983 and the Federal Government has been spending the Social Security surplus every year since that time, in the process making the government’s annual budget look a lot better than it actually is. This no doubt helped to make the former Fed chairman quite popular with elected officials, that is, until the whole financial system melted down a couple years ago.

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