We were driving for most of this week and I didn’t really get caught up much at night on the many goings on in financial markets – the silver flash crash on Sunday night followed by some more wild market moves in Japan and then the confusing word from the Fed via testimony by the Bernank, April meeting minutes, and various Fed speeches.

Gold Price

The gold price had some remarkable ups and downs, mostly while we were on the road and, between coming close to the Oklahoma tornado and then trying to find out what happened (and if we were in danger) the XM radio dial didn’t stay on Bloomberg News for very long (which is kind of unusual). This week in particular it seemed that markets have really become unhinged with traders fleeing equities as fast as they sold gold last month when it looked like the Fed’s money printing largess may soon come to an end.

It all kind of makes you wonder where this is all headed.







Visualizing Public/Private Debt Since 1990

One of the more fascinating ways to visualize the world’s growing pile of public and private debt comes via this interactive graphic in the online version of today’s Wall Street Journal story Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up ($) where you can view a time lapse of debt (as a percentage of GDP) for various countries and regions.

The basic story is told in the two charts below, the first being from 1990:

The second from last year:

The article is a good read, but the interactive graphic is really something as you can isolate countries and regions such as the U.S., Greece, Japan, etc. to see how conditions have changes over the last 20+ years, particularly since the 2008 financial crisis.

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And … We are back

After missing the Oklahoma tornado by about 2 hours and 100 miles, we are now back home after logging about 3,700 miles on our trip to the Upper South (as detailed here).

I’m still trying to catch up on what’s been going on after some wild market moves, Fed news yesterday, and more wild market moves today. Didn’t catch any of yesterday’s Bernanke testimony, but Jim Grant offers some thoughts on the subject in this CNBC interview.

After, basically, taking the last month off due to travel, surgery, and then more travel, it should be back to normal here for the foreseeable future as I’m healthy again and all of our summer travel plans are relatively short and within a few hundred miles or so.

Here are a couple charts that go nicely together, the first coming in this presentation by David Rosenberg and the second from this new Gallup survey on stock ownership.

Thanks in part to the world’s central banks, a widening gap in income and wealth between rich and poor is now a worldwide phenomenon and some of the most extreme examples are now seen in Asia, for example Mumbai Slumscrapers on a recent episode of HBO’s Vice.

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In my visit back to Pennsylvania last week the subject of reverse mortgages came up on several occasions as more and more seniors have little recourse other than to tap their home equity in order to pay, primarily, medical bills. Long-term care costing upwards of $10,000 a month (i.e., after the three months that Medicare pays) will quickly wipe out whatever savings most elderly have, leaving them with few alternatives other than a reverse mortgage that, surprisingly, are now taken out as a lump sum by a margin of two-to-one.

Until reading this Wall Street Journal story, I didn’t even realize it’s possible to default on these loans, but, clearly it is, and those default rates are on the rise, but help is on the way.

Defaults occur when a borrower fails to pay property charges, including property taxes and homeowners insurance. Of the almost 600,000 reverse mortgages outstanding, 9.8% are currently delinquent, up from 8% in 2011, the first year for which statistics are available, according to the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development, whose Federal Housing Administration insures virtually all reverse mortgages.

Delinquencies have increased in recent years as up to 70% of borrowers have opted for lump-sum payouts.

“For many homeowners, taking all eligible cash upfront results in insufficient cash flow in later years for property upkeep, taxes and insurance,” HUD warned in a November report to Congress.

The good news: Help is available. Under guidelines HUD released in 2011, lenders—before initiating foreclosure proceedings—are required to notify borrowers who fall behind of free financial counseling. Such sessions can help them get back on track by, among other things, tapping benefit programs for some older individuals.

I haven’t seen any data on this recently, but reverse mortgages have got to be a booming business for banks with, as I recall, some very big up-front fees.

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Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital throws a wet blanket over Friday’s jobs report and new record highs for U.S. stocks in this appearance on CNBC last week.

There’s a lot to disagree with here such as another call for a dollar crash (against what?), but one interesting claim made early on is that part time restaurant hiring due to changing health care rules has made the job numbers look better than they really are.

Labor Department data shows that restaurant workers account for 7.5 percent of nonfarm payrolls but this group has contributed nearly 20 percent of the payroll gains so far in 2013 and data on part-time workers only shows up in the broader U-6 measure of “under-employment” that just rose from 13.8 to 13.9 percent as the narrower jobless rate fell.

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