REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

Zillow reports that eight-time world champion boxer Thomas “Hitman” Hearns is now facing foreclosure for his Detroit home that, according to Zillow, reached a peak in value back in 2007 at just over $800,000 but is now worth less than half that amount.

According to the Detroit News, Hearns is past-due on taxes and mortgage payments, owing a total of $961,156.
IMAGE Just on Hearns’ home alone, he owes $512,965 and the bank has filed notice that his home is scheduled for a foreclosure sale on March 23, according to The Legal News (free subscription required to access article).

I’ll never forget those “glory days” of welterweight and middle-weight boxing back in the 1980s when grown men would crowd around 19 inch TVs to watch fights on pay-per-view involving Hearns, Sugar Ray Leonard, Roberto Durán, and Marvin Hagler.

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New Foreclosure Trend – Non-Foreclosures

From the recent Lender Processing Services report(.pdf) comes the chart shown below depicting the latest foreclosure trend – non-foreclosures. That is, where borrowers stop making mortgage payments but stay in the house.
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Does anyone know of any estimate for the impact of this cash on such things as consumer spending in the GDP data? Here’s my back-of-the-envelope calculation for Q4:

  • 3 months x $1,000 a month x 711,214 households x 75 percent = $1.6 billion

Assuming these “homeowners” bought things with 75 percent of what they didn’t pay in mortgage payments, this would account for about 2 percent of the increase in personal consumption during the fourth quarter – not really significant, but it sure didn’t hurt.

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Ron Paul on Yesterday’s FOMC Meeting

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) comments on yesterday’s FOMC meeting that resulted in a continued pledge by the central bank to keep interest rates low for “an extended period”.


At about the three minute mark, there’s a brief discussion of the Fed’s alleged involvement with Saddam Hussein and Watergate that Fed chief Ben Bernanke termed “bizarre” and then they go on to talk about the new financial market regulation bill that, not surprisingly, Paul doesn’t think too much of as it give even more power to the Fed.

Following the remarkably high 60 percent back-end debt-to-income ratio for homeowners whose loans have been made “permanent” via the government’s HAMP program as noted here a couple days ago come more scary statistics on the nation’s housing market.

From Diana Olick’s Loans Going Bad Faster Than the Fixes comes word of how long the foreclosure process is being dragged out:

More than 31 percent of loans that have been delinquent for six months are not yet in foreclosure, while 22.8 percent of loans delinquent for 12 months have not been moved to foreclosure status

More evidence of banks being hopelessly behind or not wanting to take market prices for REOs comes in California foreclosure starts rise nearly 20% in February from the LA Times:

The number of properties scheduled for foreclosure sale also remained near record levels. However, actual sales of foreclosure properties, whether back to the bank or those sold to third parties, dropped 11.9% in February from the month prior.

Lastly, Paul Jackson at Housing Wire concludes that Housing Recovery is Spelled R-E-O after culling through yesterday’s report from Lender Processing Services:

On average, severely delinquent borrowers have gone more than 9 months without making a mortgage payment—and yet foreclosure has not yet started for them. For those borrowers who are in the foreclosure process, it’s been an average of 13.6 months—more than one full year—since they last made any payment on their mortgage.

With this kind of data piling up, it’s hard to get excited about the prospects for any sort of a near-term recovery. Based on how the banks and the government are handling the problem, we’re probably in for a housing market bottom that will take years to form.

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Meredith Whitney on the Housing Double-Dip

Skip to about the four-minute mark to hear Meredith Whitney talk about the next leg down for home prices as a result of the foreclosure pipeline emptying into the market.


It should come as no surprise that Whitney thinks banks are not prepared for home prices to go lower and that, after the Federal Reserve’s scheduled exit from the mortgage backed securities market in just two weeks, there will be a “material” correction there.

There’s more in this CNBC story including something about disappointment awaiting those who think we’re returning to the old normal – the new normal is apparently not so good.

Housing Starts Clunk Along the Bottom

The Commerce Department reported(.pdf) that housing starts fell 5.9 percent in February, from a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 611,000 to 575,000, while permits for new construction dropped 1.6 percent, from 621,000 to 612,000.

Homebuilding activity has been at depressed levels for almost a year-and-a-half now as distressed sales have continued to limit demand for new construction.
IMAGE January housing starts were revised upward from 591,000 to 611,000 making the decline in February about twice as large as it would have been using originally reported data and the previously reported number of housing permits was also revised upward.

Inclement weather in parts of the country affected the February data, however, housing starts fell more in the South (down 16 percent) than in the Northeast (down 9.6 percent) during a month of record snowfall in the Northeast.

On a year-over-year basis, new home construction was up 0.2 percent while the number of permits issued rose 11.3 percent and, from the peak of homebuilding activity in 2005, housing starts are now down 73 percent with permits issued are a full 75 percent lower.

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