Financial Bubbles | timiacono.com - Part 3

Black Swans Anyone?

Michala Marcussen, chief economist at Societe Generale, talks about what could go wrong this summer and, of course, in the fall with a little election scheduled here in the U.S.

Yeah, black swan is a term that has been over-used and mis-used in recent years.

As Donald Rumsfeld noted, “there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don’t know we don’t know. And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tend to be the difficult ones”.

Tagged with:  

Credit Cards Reanimated

From last week, the WSJ reports that the number and popularity of credit cards has experienced something of a resurgence after the near-death experience Americans had with debt (that is, excluding student loans) during and after the Great Recession.

I dont’ know about you, but we regularly get offers for new credit cards with introductory rewards of anywhere between $100 and $500 each. You’d think they’d stop sending them to us since we just make the minimum purchases to get the reward and then go back to using our Costco Amex which morphs into an even better Costco Visa next month.

Tagged with:  

Retirement Regrets

There’s nothing really surprising in this Bankrate.com survey of regrets current and future retirees have about their current or future retirement.

Too little saving and too much debt account for two-thirds of the responses with the other third split about equally between None (the correct answer) and “Something else” (which screams out for some elaboration, given that it’s a pretty big share of the responses).

Low financial literacy and our consumer culture (buying things you don’t need with money you don’t have) work against those with the best intentions and, in the end, this is kind of like the obesity epidemic where, “eat less, exercise more” is easier to say than do.

Tagged with:  

Vancouver’s World Class Freak Show

That’s one tough bubble they’ve got north of here in Canada’s housing market and, apparently, China’s got a lot to do with its durability as detailed in this story at Maclean’s.

Does anyone call it “Hongcouver” anymore? Maybe that name isn’t as funny as it once was…

There was neither the time nor the desire for an exhaustive analysis, but it didn’t take long to turn up the chart below from the Fed’s Survey of Consumer Finances that seems to contradict the conclusion of former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota (from this Bloomberg story) that, from 2010 to 2013 “the rich didn’t fare particularly well” .

I guess it just depends on how rich you are and, just speculating here, but it’s likely that the top curve above would show an even bigger divergence from the others the more you separate the richest of the top 10 percent from the rest of that group.

Page 3 of 30812345102030...Last »
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made