REMINDER: All investment, economics, and finance related material now appears at the new IaconoResearch.com. For the time being at least, this has become a personal blog covering a variety of mostly unrelated topics.

The Fed Under Fire

It’s probably fair to say that, after the last few years, a lot more Americans know what the Federal Reserve is and what it does, but, that’s not necessarily a good thing as they probably don’t like what they’ve learned. This interview with New York Fed President William Dudley (formerly of Goldman Sachs) probably isn’t going to do anything to change that view.

The initiative to change the Fed’s mandate from low unemployment and stable prices to just a price mandate as detailed by CNBC’’s Steve Liesman early on in the clip is an interesting one indeed – it would be a lot harder to justify monetizing trillions more dollars in government debt without the cover of a nearly 10 percent unemployment rate.







China Considers Price Controls

It looks like markets have gotten the message from China on how they feel about rising commodity prices and the entire natural resource sector (along with stocks, bonds, and everything else) is beating a hasty retreat today. Bloomberg reports that the government might soon impose price controls so as to keep the populace from getting too fidgety.

China may impose price limits on food and toughen punishment of those found speculating on agriculture futures including corn and cotton to combat rising inflation, the China Securities Journal reported, citing an unidentified person.

The government may also crack down on hoarding, offer food subsidies and hold local mayors responsible for ensuring vegetable supplies and controlling prices, the report said. In May, the government said hoarders will be fined by up to five times the value of the commodities held, the paper said.

Corn prices in China jumped to a record today as tightening supplies increased their investment appeal. Rice also reached an all-time high. China has already sold sugar, cotton, corn, aluminum and zinc from stockpiles in an effort to ease supply shortages and curb inflation, which gained at the fastest pace in two years last month.

“Prices of food and cotton have gone up to the point that the government has decided to step up efforts to crack down on speculation and make sure that inflation doesn’t flare up further,” Dong Shuzhi, manager at Beida Founder Commodities Co., said by phone from Shanghai today.

Consumer prices in China gained 4.4 percent in October. The government’s full-year inflation target is 3 percent. China’s central bank raised bank reserve requirements last week and last month increased interest rates for the first time in three years to tame inflation.

Of course, if you ask an economist (like this one writing in The Economist), you’ll learn how it’s not the Fed’s money printing campaign that is causing all these troubles.

Tagged with:  

Housing Chart of the Decade

Spotted over at Patrick.net was this Bloomberg Chart of the Day story that included the graphic reproduced below that depicts the sorry state of the U.S. housing market.

Citigroup Analyst Josh Levin says there are about 2.1 million homes now available for occupancy that aren’t needed and this apparently does not include the millions more that are working their way through the “foreclosure pipeline”.

Tagged with:  

More Stories of Foreclosure Limbo

More accounts of the personal side of the foreclosure business appear in this story at Bloomberg in which more families live in their homes for years without paying their mortgage or being evicted. The one guy who owes about $185K on a house that was once worth $200,000 (but would now fetch only $66K) hasn’t made a payment since mid-2007.

Comedian Lynn Moore and her husband, retired pro wrestler “Cougar Jay,” were on the verge of losing their St. Augustine, Florida, home when PNC Financial Services Group Inc.’s foreclosure hearing was canceled last month.

Moore, who runs a comedy club under the stage name Jackie Knight, and her husband, whose real name is Dion, last made a mortgage payment in mid-2009. She said they need to stay put until at least January, when Dion, 50, expects to receive a federal education grant they can use to rent a new home.

They are among the hundreds of thousands of Americans who dwell in the limbo between homeownership and eviction as banks and courts sort through foreclosure cases. Questions over the legitimacy of mortgage documents used by banks such as Wells Fargo & Co. and Bank of America Corp. have triggered litigation nationwide. As a result, foreclosure proceedings have been delayed, buying time for homeowners in default.

“If they tell me I have to be out before then, I’m going to be in big trouble,” said Moore, 63, who has faced foreclosure since March and tried to negotiate lower payments. “I’m going to have no money and no place to go.”

The delays mean people like Moore, who inherited her mother’s house and the $2,200-a-month mortgage payments that came with it, are lingering in their homes for free and longer than would be possible otherwise, in some cases for years, as lawsuits drag on.

Things were so much simpler when home prices rose at about the rate of inflation and banks wouldn’t lend you money they didn’t think you could pay back out of your income.

Tagged with:  

This must be an instant classic (hat tip JR), the repetitive nature of some of the dialogue driving home the point that the Fed’s latest money printing campaign really is kind of nuts.

At just past the two minute mark, you might recall Jim Grant’s quip from a couple years ago when he noted, “Yes, the subprime problem is contained … to planet earth”.

This week’s commodity oddity comes via this item at FT Alphaville in which a religious group thinks the world might be better off if people avoided investing in hard assets due to the negative impact this increased demand will have on the population as a whole.

We just received the following note from the Interfaith Center on Corporate Responsibility:

I’m writing to share a story that might be of interest to your readers.

As active shareholders, members of the Interfaith Center on Corporate Responsibility (www.iccr.org) have been working with top U.S. financial institutions for decades to reform banking practices in an effort to stabilize global markets.

Our members, mainly faith-based institutional investors, are interested in these issues because they understand that volatile markets will disproportionately impact the world’s poor. The current volatility in commodities prices which is partially driven by over speculation in these markets has the potential to create untold suffering and for this reason, our members are working to discourage these investments.

The press release below tells of our recent success with CalSTRS in an on-going campaign.

Indeed, the background here is that the California State Teachers’ Retirement System earlier announced earlier this year that it was looking to allocate assets into commodities as part of its investment diversification plans.

But, as John Kemp at Reuters noted earlier this week, those plans were scaled back substantially this week largely due to the above concerns.

The rightly caution that, given the Fed’s determination to print money until the economy improves, they shouldn’t be too disappointed if they’re investment returns fall short at some point in the future. Then again, investment funds could just buy gold as no one needs dumb ‘ol gold coins to heat their house or feed their family.

Tagged with:  
© 2010-2011 The Mess That Greenspan Made