Greece |

Almost Total Capitulation

It should be an interesting couple of days in Athens as the Greek people come to understand that the deal Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras brought back from Brussels is worse than the one they rejected ten days ago, a key element being that lawmakers approve it by tomorrow.

The pundits seem to be almost universally pessimistic:

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My guess is that the use of the “a-Greek-ment” contraction by European Council president Donald Tusk is not a good sign for what comes next in today’s Greek debt deal, a deal that is the same or worse than the one the Greek people voted against a week ago.

Markets are rallying on the news – China stocks, U.S. stocks – it’s all good…

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The Neverending Crisis/Bailout in Greece

It’s not hard to see where this is all headed in Greece – the Sunday referendum will result in a “Yes” vote (for the bailout package rejected by the Greek government last week) and the result will be an interim bailout prior to another election where the people will again vote for what sounds good (i.e., promises of a better deal than they vote for on Sunday).

This Bloomberg story provides the following flowchart:

There should really be a box at the top, something like, “Greece fails to meet terms of bailout”, along with a loop from the “Next bailout” box at the bottom.

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Grisis, Granks Grosed, Grexit Grossible

Just think … someday we’ll be able to have a little chuckle as we look back at the long-running Greek financial crisis and marvel at what policy makers were able to accomplish within a dysfunctional system that should never have allowed Greece to join it, the nation only being able to do so thanks to some Goldman Sachs financial engineering.

From Martin Rowson at The Guardian.

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What Greece Owes the IMF

One of the more interesting graphics about the looming (but, on Tuesday, probably actual) Greek debt default via this item at the Council for Foreign Relations:

Of course, Greece hasn’t defaulted on anything yet and it’s still possible they’ll kick the can down the road again somehow. Nevertheless, this is an impressive pile of debt that will have to be reckoned with someday, perhaps starting tomorrow.

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