The Euro Crisis in Economist Covers

I haven’t done one of these animated .gifs in quite a while, but it seemed worth the effort to put together these Economist covers on the euro crisis, particularly when considering the treatment they provide for Germany’s Ms. Merkel, highlighted by that very first one.

Note that you’ll have to read fast because you can’t slow this down, despite the appearance of those little buttons in the lower right. If you’d like to view these at your own pace, just scroll to the bottom of this Economist story about Greece and the euro.

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Growth Slows in China – to 9.2 Percent

Along with another European credit downgrade by Standard & Poor’s and Greece once again edging closer to default (they’ve been edging closer to default for years now), slower growth in China is making headlines this morning, though, most nations would give their eye-teeth for an economy that is still expanding at a nine percent clip.

Retail sales were up 17 percent from year ago levels while year-over-year growth rates slowed during all four quarters of 2011 as the government tightened lending and found other ways to rein in soaring home prices and cool inflation.

So far, it looks like they’re succeeding. Hopefully, they won’t be too successful.

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Greek Tax Officials Strike, Will Anyone Notice?

Word comes via this AP report that Greek government workers in the tax collection department have walked off the job in protest after their salaries were cut. In a nation of tax scofflaws, where nearly everyone skirts paying their taxes and an underground, untaxed economy plays a larger role than in most developed nations, will anyone notice?

Greek tax officials walked off the job Thursday at the start of a 48-hour strike to protest salary cuts and other austerity measures, as the government struggles to meet revenue targets demanded by the country’s international creditors.

Tax offices shut down for the last two working days of the year, prompting hundreds of Greeks on Wednesday to rush to settle last-minute issues before the strike. Many handed over their car license plates, preferring to keep their vehicles off the road rather than paying an increased tax.

“As a result of the austerity measures putting some tax officers on reduced pay, we have 5,500 fewer tax office jobs,” said tax officers’ union head Charalambos Nikolakopoulos.

Tax evasion has been rampant in Greece, despite repeated efforts to crack down on the practice.

The strike comes a day after the sudden resignation of two prosecutors heading the judicial task force charged with fighting tax evasion. The two, Grigoris Peponis and Spiros Mouzakitis, claimed they were being sidelined and implied government interference in their work.

There is more on the latest developments in this nation that is about to enter its fourth year of recession in this story at Speigel where government reforms are said to have “ground to a halt”. A best case scenario at this point is that Greece will reduce its debt to 120 percent of GDP in another eight years. Whoopee!

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Making a Mess of Things in Europe

It’s funny that, in just the last five days when yours truly was away on a trip to Pennsylvania and New York City (including the two-day weekend), the European debt deal all came together and now it looks as though it’s all falling apart.

From the “comprehensive settlement” that was struck while I was flying to Philadelphia on Thursday, a day that saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average soar almost 400 points, to the 500+ point drop that has occurred since yesterday morning as the Greeks have cast everything in doubt with their announcement of a referendum on the recently passed austerity measures that, if nothing else, will create a two-month period of uncertainty about whether Greece will leave the monetary union.

Today is Mario Draghi’s first day as the head of the European Central Bank and, while, he probably thought he’d have some early challenges, he probably didn’t think that this “curve-ball” from the Greek government would be one of them.

Now, anyone thinking that last week’s deal would be the end of the sovereign debt crisis was surely deluding themselves, but, conventional wisdom was that this would be another in a long series of kicks to the can that would push it down the road far enough for everyone to breath easy for at least a month or two.

As it stands, it looks like the Greek government will again run out of money right around the time of the referendum vote in January and, given the new uncertainty, MF Global could be just the first in a series of dominoes to fall that could produce a year-end financial market environment that is radically different than the one we thought we’d see just two days ago.

Even gold is selling off a bit today, but, as is usually the case at times like this, the metal is proving to be much more resilient than most other assets.

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Seven Billion and Counting

Oh Dear. It looks like Europe is falling apart again as the Greeks and Germans again bicker about money. I’d be curious to know if, throughout history, there have ever been any successful marriages between people from these two countries as they seem to be about as far apart as you can get on how to spend money. My recent trip back to Pennsylvania reminded me of my family’s German-Italian ancestry that has some pretty big cultural divides, but the Greeks apparently take spendthriftiness to a completely different level.

Anyway, look for our collective money troubles to get worse before they get better as global population continues to grow, yesterday marking an important milestone of 7 billion.

There are many more interesting ways to look at this subject including this neat graphic at The Economist and many more YouTube videos since people starting talking about this a year ago in preparation for the big 7 billion event.

This graphics overload from National Geographic was particularly good.

“Sell Everything Immediately … Quickly”

In light of what’s been going on in Europe over the last few days, perhaps it’s worth reviewing this Clark and Dawe video from last year on the area’s sovereign debt crisis.

Since this was originally aired, it would appear that about the only things that have changed are the actual debt totals for each nation and my guess is that they’ve all probably gone up.

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